Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
Capitalisation, adequate in relation to the bank's scale of operations, is supported by steady internal accruals apart from the bank's track record to raise need-based capital. As on September 30, 2023 the bank’s networth increased to Rs 11,763 crore from Rs 10,977 crore as on March 31, 2023 as against Rs 7,514 crore on March 31, 2022, driven by a capital raise of Rs 2000 crore via Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP). Additionally, Rs 500 crore raised via Tier II bonds during fiscal 2023. The bank’s reported overall and tier 1 capital adequacy ratios (CAR) were comfortable at 22.4% and 21.0%, respectively as on September 30, 2023, and both these metrics have remained above the regulatory requirement of 15% historically. The bank is expected to maintain adequate capitalization, post merger with Fincare.
- Sustained ramp-up in deposit franchise
The bank’s deposit base has registered a steady growth rate over the three fiscals alongside an increasing share of retail deposits (retail term deposits and CASA) as a proportion of total deposits and, of overall external liabilities as well. Registering a 3 year CAGR of 38.4%, the bank’s deposit base stood at Rs 69,365 crore as on March 31, 2023 which constitutes 92% of the total borrowings as compared to 84%, two years ago. The deposits further grew Rs 75,743 crore as on September 30, 2023.
The deposit mix has been evolving, with higher focus on retail deposits. The aggregate share of CASA and retail term deposits (TD, of less than Rs 2 crore) in the total deposit base (including Certificates of Deposit) has been increasing consistently. As compared to 44% as on March 31, 2020, the proportion increased to 69% as of March 31, 2023.
Alongside growth in deposit base, the average cost of funds declined as incremental funds are being sourced in the form of low cost deposits and refinance from financial institutions. For fiscal 2017, cost of funds was 9.6%, which declined to 8.43% for fiscal 2018 and subsequently to 5.6% for fiscal 2023. However, it inched up marginally and stood at 6.4% in H1FY24 due to the macro economic scenario.
Over the near to medium term, the bank’s ability to sustain improvement in its retail deposit franchise reflected by consistent increase in the share of retail deposits (retail TDs and CASA) in the total deposit and overall liabilities base, while maintaining competitive cost of funds, will serve as a key rating sensitivity factor.
- Demonstrated track record of maintaining better than average asset quality metrics
AU SFB has sustained its asset quality over the past few years supported by strong focus on portfolio monitoring and collection practices. This is in addition to the sound understanding of the operating geography and borrower profile. Up until March 2020, the bank’s reported GNPA had remained below 3%. Reported GNPAs and NNPAs, after rising to 4.3% and 2.3% as on June 30, 2021, respectively due to the pandemic started to decline on sequential basis and stood at 1.9% and 0.6% respectively on September 30, 2023.
The bank had a standard restructured portfolio of around 1.2% of gross advances as on March 31, 2023, down from 2.1% of gross advances as at the end of June 2022. Majority of these loans were restructured in Q4’FY21 and Q1’FY22. It was also noted that the bank extended loans under Emergency Credit Line Guarantee Scheme (ECLGS) to the tune of Rs 569 crore in fiscal 2021 and Rs 500 crore fiscal 2022. Over the medium to long term, the pace at which the bank reinstates repayment discipline among its borrowers and maintains its resolution rate will remain a key monitorable.
Over the past two fiscals, the bank has diversified its product suite and the MBL (Micro Business Loans/loans to micro small and medium enterprises, MSME) book and it will further diversify its product suit by addition of MFI and gold loan portfolio on account of amalgamation with Fincare. The AUM has grown at a robust pace. As the book is of relatively longer tenure and has grown at fast pace, the asset quality behavior here would be a key monitorable. Wheels (vehicle loans), which was the largest asset class with over 40% share in the gross advances until a few quarters ago, currently forms 32% of the gross advances.
In first half of fiscal 2024, bank reported profit after tax of Rs 789 crore (RoA of 1.7%) and Rs 1428 crore in fiscal 2023 (RoA of 1.8%) as against Rs 1130 crore (RoA of 1.9%) in the previous fiscal. Net interest income has increased from fiscal 2023 onwards on account of growth in business volumes, partly impacted by increased cost of funds. Recoveries from write offs, classified under other income, had also increased during the period. Credit cost declined to 0.3% in first half of fiscal 2024 and to 0.2% in fiscal 2023 as against 0.6% in previous fiscal. Operating costs inched up to 4.3% in fiscal 2023 from 4% in previous fiscal, primarily due to continued investment in credit card business and digital initiatives like QR and video banking. AU SFB will be acquiring the high yielding micro finance segment on account of the amalgamation which will push up the NIM’s and profitability of AU SFB.
In the medium term to long term, AU SFB is expected to enhance its net interest margin driven by strong market position in core territories and product segments, which allow it to price in the risks suitably. Operating expense ratios should remain at current levels given there are no major expansion plans in the medium term apart from the branch expansion on account of amalgamation with Fincare. The ability of the bank to sustain its overall profitability, while scaling business across fast growing segments like MBL (MSME), Microfinance (MFI) and gold loans which will be acquired from Fincare will remain critical.
Weakness:
- CASA, though improving, remains low as a proportion of overall liabilities in comparison with larger private banks
While AU SFB has demonstrated its ability to ramp-up deposit base in the initial phase of its banking journey and continues to do so gradually, its CASA – though improved over the last fiscal – remains lower than that of other larger private banks.
While the share of CASA plus retail deposits rose to 69% as on March 31, 2023 from 44% as on March 31, 2020, share of bulk deposits still remains higher than a number of other private banks. Bulk deposits, as opposed to retail deposits, are inherently rate-sensitive and not sticky. However, 56% of AU SFB's bulk term deposits are reported to be non-callable. Nevertheless, they pose inherent challenges in managing asset liability maturity mismatches, particularly when the liquidity environment is tight. Consequently, building a granular deposit profile with a solid share of CASA is critical.
The share of CASA, though improved, was lower than that for larger private banks at 35.2% of total borrowings (deposits plus other borrowings) and 38.4% of the total deposit base (including certificate of deposits) as on March 31, 2023. Fiscal 2020 witnessed disruptive events at two banks - one in September 2019 and the other in March 2020 that had an impact on deposit inflow for a number of private banks. In the aftermath of both, the inflow of incremental deposits moderated for AU SFB for a short span before correcting to business-as-usual rates soon after.
In the medium to long term, AU SFB’s ability to sustain this improvement in CASA such that its share in the total deposits and overall borrowings of the bank increases and demonstrates sustainability, will be a key rating sensitivity factor.