Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
- Unconditional and irrevocable corporate guarantee extended by ABL
NCDs of Rs 150 cr have been being refinanced by raising fresh NCDs. The new NCDs of Rs 250 cr is also backed by unconditional and irrevocable corporate guarantee from ABL. The guarantee covers all the repayment obligations of the NCDs in a timely manner. ACL shall ensure that the redemption amount or amounts due or any other payment due as per the debenture trust deed shall be deposited in the debenture holders’ account three calendar days prior to the interest payment date or redemption date (deposit date). If ACL fails to deposit the redemption amount and/or the interest or any other amounts due, on or prior to the deposit date, then the debenture trustee shall on the same day, issue a demand notice to ABL, requiring it to deposit the amount on or before one calendar day prior to the Redemption Dates or Interest Payment Dates. ABL undertakes that it shall unconditionally and irrevocably pay on demand to the Debenture Trustee such amount stated in the Demand Notice, without any demur or protest and without any set off or lien on or before one calendar day prior to the Redemption Dates or Interest Payment Dates, as the case may be. Further, if any date of deposit of payment of redemption amounts and amounts due falls on a day which is not a business day, then the deposit must be made on the immediately preceding business day. Also, the guarantee is continuing and covers the entire facility.
For the new NCDs of Rs 250 crore, in case of rating downgrade events of the Guarantor or Issuer, payment notice of 33 days is given and the payment mechanism for other event of default other than rating downgrade or payment default (of interest/redemption amount on the due date) includes an acceleration notice with a payment timeline of 5 days.
- Established track record of ABL in executing engineering, procurement, construction (EPC) contracts and build-operate-transfer (BOT) road projects
ABL has experience of over two decades in the EPC business and established relationships with state government departments, National Highways Authority of India (NHAI; rated 'CRISIL AAA/Stable'), and the Ministry of Road Transport and Highways should continue to support the business.
The company was one of the early entrants in BOT road projects in India, and won its first project in 1997. Along with ACL, it currently has 25 such projects, of which 17 are operational, 6 under construction, 2 are in the process of achieving financial closure (FC). Over 10,000 lane kilometre (km) has been constructed so far and nine completed projects have been successfully handed over.
Of the portfolio of 25 projects, 13 (5 BOT toll and 8 hybrid annuity model [HAM]) are housed under ACL. Out of the total ten HAM projects with the group, two have achieved Provisional Commercial Operations Date (PCOD), six projects are under construction and the balance two are in the process of achieving FC. Few under-construction HAM projects are progressing at a slow pace due to Right of Way (ROW) issue but these are expected to complete on time given the strong track record of EPC contractor, ABL and expectation of additional three months of extension of time due to covid induced lockdown (3 months extension has already been received). Nonetheless, progress of HAM projects will remain a key monitorable.
ABL’s strong project execution capabilities are reflected in successful completion of projects within the scheduled time and budgeted cost. The strong in-house EPC division undertakes all project implementation for the BOT/HAM road projects. The group also manufactures readymade concrete and high-grade bitumen, which supports operating efficiency, reflected in a moderate operating margin of 12-15% in the past five fiscals through 2021.
- Robust order book of ABL providing strong revenue visibility
The company had orders of Rs 8,166 cr as on March 31, 2021 and post Mach it has won/L1 for orders worth Rs 1,950 cr. Order book to revenue ratio of the company is over 2.3 times, providing healthy revenue visibility over the medium term. Around 76% of orders (as on March 31, 2021) are from the road segment, while 17% and 7% are from power transmission and distribution (T&D), and railways and commercial gas distribution (CGD) segments, respectively. Of the road orders, HAM and EPC account for 56% and 44%, respectively.
- Sound financial risk profile of ABL
Operating income registered a de-growth of around 4% and was at around Rs 3,800 cr in fiscal 2021. This was due to lower execution in Q1’21 on account of covid induced lockdown. Flattish revenue and higher fixed cost has resulted in 200bps decline in operating margin which was at 13.6% in fiscal 2021.
Adjusted debt stood at around Rs 740 crore as on March 31, 2021. Healthy networth and low debt has kept the capital structure comfortable. Adjusted gearing has improved to 0.25 time as on March 31, 2021 from 0.30 time as on March 31, 2020. Adjusted total outside liabilities to adjusted networth (TOL/ANW) also remains comfortable at 0.8 times as on March 31, 2021 (1.02 times as on March 31, 2020). The company’s debt level is likely is remain at similar level in fiscal 2021, thereby helping it retain its capital structure.
Healthy profitability and moderate debt levels have helped maintain comfortable debt protection metrics: the adjusted interest and finance coverage and net cash accrual to adjusted debt ratios were around 8.94 times and 0.7 time, respectively, in fiscal 2021. Debt protection metrics are expected to be sustained on the back of stable debt and profit.
About 80% of ABL’s networth is locked in investments made in the underlying BOT and HAM portfolio. Further, the company is expected to invest around Rs 500 crore over fiscals 2022 and 2023, towards equity commitment of ongoing HAM projects and investments in CGD business along with financial support for meeting cash flow mismatches at the underlying SPVs. Major maintenance works in two projects were completed in fiscal 2021 and is being taken up for four BOT projects in fiscals 2022 and 2023, which would entail support requirements. This support is over and above the surplus generated from Jaora Nayagaon Toll Road Company Pvt Ltd and Viva Highways Ltd, which would be used towards supporting ABL’s SPVs.
ABL has been infusing the entire equity commitment towards HAM projects under ACL. ACL in September 2019 had raised Rs 150 cr NCDs which was used to pay off unsecured loan from ABL to the extent of equity infusin done by ABL on behalf of SBI Macquarie. Post that additional Rs 100 cr has been infused by ABL in ongoing HAM projects. ACL has raised Rs 250 cr which has been used to refinance existing NCDs and balance has been used to pay off unsecured loans from ABL. ABL will be infusing entire balance equity commitment in the ongoing HAM projects till the new investor is identified.
The company had been negotiating to monetise its stake in the BOT and HAM portfolio, however talks on the same were stalled because of the Covid-19 pandemic. The monetisation process is in advanced stage and is likely to conclude by Q2’2022. Funds received from new investor will help curtail the funding from ABL towards equity and support requirement in the projects. Any delay in fructification of monetisation plan in the near term is likely to increase debt levels, which can impact the credit profile of the company. Timely monetisation of assets in near term, to unlock its capital, will remain a rating sensitivity factor.
Weaknesses:
- Working capital-intensive operations
Working capital requirement of ABL is inherently large in the EPC industry, given the high dependence on state and central government authorities for receipt of payments. Further, in the power T&D segment, working capital requirement is higher because 20% of the payment is received once the project is operationalised, which usually takes two years and 10% of the contract value is held as retention money until the expiry of the warranty period that usually takes five years. The working capital cycle has been impacted in fiscals 2016 and 2017, on account of large inventory requirement in the power T&D segment.
Working capital cycle has been improving over the past three fiscals, with gross current assets (GCA, net off cash) at around 200 days as on March 31, 2021 (266 days as on March 31, 2017), aided by lower inventory on account of collection of working capital advance for NHAI road projects which has improved the billing cycle in fiscal 2021 and lower execution in power T&D segment.
- Susceptibility to intense competition and cyclicality in the construction industry
76% ABL;s outstanding orders as on March 31, 2021 comprised projects from roads and highways, and the remaining from the power T&D, railways and CGD segments. Although the company executes projects across various modes (BOT/EPC/HAM) in the roads segment, revenue is susceptible to changes in government regulations and economic conditions. Limited diversity in revenue will keep it susceptible to intense competition and cyclicality inherent in the construction industry.