Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
Strategic importance to, and expectation of continued financial support from, the parent
Muthoot Finance will likely continue to support Belstar both on an ongoing basis and during distress, given its majority ownership and presence on the board of directors of Belstar, and the strategic importance of the latter to the group. The microfinance business helps diversify the financial product suite of the parent. The business is established and growing at a healthy pace, and formed ~7% of the group AUM as on March 31, 2022. Also, the business is scalable and expected to grow steadily over the medium term. Muthoot Finance has infused Rs 211.83 crore in Belstar till date. While Belstar does not have a common branding with the Muthoot group, it carries a tagline as part of its name to clearly state that it is a subsidiary of Muthoot Finance. The Muthoot group has a strong presence on the board of Belstar through Mr George Alexander (son of the managing director of Muthoot Finance), Mr George M Jacob (son of the joint managing director of Muthoot Finance) and Mr K R Bijimon (key management person).
Adequate capital position
Networth was Rs 856 crore and adjusted gearing (including securitisation) 5.4 times, as on March 31, 2022 (gearing was 6.2 times as on March 31, 2021). The company signed a definitive agreement with Affirma Capital in August 2021 for capital infusion of Rs 350 crore, of which Rs 275 crore was infused in March 2022 and the remaining Rs 75 crore will be infused by first half of fiscal 2023 along with additional infusion of Rs 35 crore. Gearing should be around 6 times on a steady state basis over the medium term.
On account of the gap between current and pre-Covid collection levels, there is a risk of increase in credit losses and its potential impact on capitalisation metrics. Ability to ramp up internal accretion so that the company can sustain capital position and keep adjusted gearing within the targeted cap while sustaining growth shall remain a key monitorable. Nevertheless, Belstar should remain adequately capitalised over the medium term on the back of the strong financial flexibility of the Muthoot group to infuse equity, both for growth as well as in times of distress.
Above-average earnings, albeit moderated on account of higher provisioning to combat the pandemic
Belstar has adequate earnings backed by moderate operating and credit costs. Operating cost (5-5.5% for the past three fiscals) is lower compared with other microfinance institutions (MFIs) due to its branch-based collection model. Credit cost also has been low historically at 0.2-1.3%. Return on managed assets (RoMA) stood at 3.6% in fiscal 2019 and 3.5% in 2020. However, in fiscal 2021, net profit fell to Rs 47 crore from Rs 99 crore in fiscal 2020, primarily due to higher provisioning of Rs 81 crore to account for contingencies arising from delinquencies. Consequently, RoMA stood at 1.3% for fiscal 2021. However, pre-provisioning profit stood at Rs 138 crore in fiscal 2021 against Rs 156 crore in fiscal 2020. Similarly, in fiscal 2022, the company reported pre-provisioning profit of Rs 206 crore and provisioning of Rs 150 crore, which led to profit after tax of Rs 45 crore and RoMA of 1.0%. Given the current stress on asset quality especially from the older book, the time frame within which Belstar is able to bring credit costs back to pre-pandemic level will be a key rating sensitivity factor.
Weakness:
Geographical concentration of portfolio
Tamil Nadu accounts for a large proportion of the portfolio, though its share has reduced to 45.6% as on March 31, 2022, from 72% as on September 30, 2018. The high geographical concentration is mainly on account of association with the Hand in Hand group, which has a strong presence in the state. More importantly, 15.2% of the loan book is concentrated in three districts and 25.3% in six districts, all of which are located contiguously. The AUM in the top three districts is around 129% of the networth. The concentration, especially in contiguous districts, is higher compared with other MFIs rated by CRISIL Ratings. This increases susceptibility to local socio-political risks inherent in the microfinance business. Nevertheless, the strong local presence of the Hand in Hand group in these districts might be a mitigant.
Belstar is focusing on other states to drive incremental growth and reduce the share of Tamil Nadu. Amidst fast growth in the portfolio, efforts to reduce concentration and establish presence in new geographies will be key monitorables.
Moderation in asset quality
The 90+ dpd was around 1% and the 30+ dpd was 1.4-1.7% for the past three fiscals. Their portfolio was Rs 453 crore as of December 2016, with more than 75% in Tamil Nadu that was relatively less impacted by demonetisation in November 2016. Additionally, the self-help group (SHG) model has helped as it involves inculcation of a savings habit among members before disbursement. Moreover, the company has taken steps through adoption of technology such as usage of tablets and 100% NEFT disbursements to reduce instances of employee fraud.
However, over the last two years asset quality has weakened owing to the pandemic. The 30+ dpd and 90+ dpd stood 4.0% and 2.9%, respectively, as of March 2021. Furthermore, the asset quality of the industry at large and that of Belstar was impacted by the second wave. The 30+ and 90+ dpd of the company stood at 9.1% and 5.8%, respectively, as on March 31, 2022 (broadly comparable with other microfinance players).
As the current economic challenges and Covid-19 affliction curve have not yet normalised, the ability of the company to further improve collections to pre-Covid levels of over 99% on a steady state basis will be important in the coming months. Furthermore, considering the growth in loan portfolio, ability to commensurate asset quality performance will be a key monitorable. After the first wave of Covid-19, Belstar started disbursing from July 2020 onwards, with overall disbursements at Rs 2,434 crore in fiscal 2021 (Rs 1,063 crore of disbursement in the fourth quarter itself). In fiscal 2022, the company has disbursed Rs 3,546 crore of loans with an average of Rs 418 crore per month in the fourth quarter. Sustainability of collections and impact of the pandemic on asset quality will also be key monitorables.
Susceptibility to regulatory and legislative risks associated with the microfinance sector
The microfinance sector has witnessed two major disruptive events in the past decade. The first was the crisis promulgated by the ordinance passed by the Government of Andhra Pradesh in 2010 and the second was demonetisation in 2016. In addition, the sector has faced issues of varying intensity in several geographies. Promulgation of the ordinance on MFIs by the Government of Andhra Pradesh in 2010 demonstrated their vulnerability to regulatory and legislative risks. The ordinance triggered a chain of events that adversely affected the business models of MFIs by impairing their growth, asset quality, profitability and solvency. Similarly, the sector witnessed high level of delinquencies post-demonetisation and the subsequent socio-political events. The microfinance sector remains susceptible to regional issues such as elections, natural calamities and borrower protests, which may result in momentary spurt in delinquencies. This indicates the fragility of the business to external risks. As the business involves lending to the poor and downtrodden sections of society, MFIs will remain exposed to socially sensitive factors, including high interest rates, tighter regulations and legislations.