Strengths: * Healthy capitalisation levels along with commitment of support from Fairfax, in case of exigency. Over the past five years, CSB Bank has witnessed multiple challenges amid deteriorating asset quality metrics which had consequently eroded networth and capitalisation metrics. During fiscals 2014-18, the asset quality metrics peaked at 7.89%1 as on March 31, 2018 primarily owing to slippages from the SME (small and medium enterprises) portfolio. This had resulted in the bank reporting losses due to higher provisioning and consequent deterioration of capitalisation metrics, with CET 1 ratio dropping to 7.87% and overall capital adequacy ratio (CAR) at 8.33% against the regulatory requirement (overall CAR inclusive of CCB) of 10.785% as on March 31, 2018. However, Fairfax, via its company, FIH Mauritius Investments Ltd, took over 51% stake in the bank in October 2018 by infusing around Rs 1,208 crore as primary equity. This capital came in three tranches: two tranches totalling Rs 720 crore in fiscal 2019 and the remaining Rs 488 crore in fiscal 2020. As a part of the approval from Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to allow Fairfax to have 51% stake in the bank, the bank was to list its shares. Eventually, the bank concluded its IPO in December 2019. Fairfax held around 49.74% as on December 31, 2019, and will have to reduce its stake to 15% over a period of 15 years as per the existing regulatory requirement. CRISIL believes CSB Bank's capital profile benefits from Fairfax's stance that it will extend support as and when required and RBI will not object to Fairfax's support in a distress situation. Further, the bank also has sufficient headroom to shore up the capital ratios by raising additional Tier 1 and Tier II debt capital. Currently, the CET 1 ratio at 22.34% as of December 31, 2019 constitutes the majority of the capital adequacy ratios for the bank with Tier 1 ratio at 22.34% and Tier II at 0.66% as on the same date. Fairfax, if required can also support the bank by investing in its Tier 1 and Tier II debt as well. Capitalisation metrics are healthy with Tier 1 and overall CAR at 22.34% and 23.00%, respectively, as on December 31, 2019, against 7.87% and 8.33%, respectively, as on March 31, 2018. With substantial improvement in networth, the bank now has adequate cushion against asset-side risks with networth to net non-performing assets (NPA) of 9.5 times as on December 31, 2019 compared to 2.1 times as on March 31, 2018. * Stable resource profile The deposit base for the bank has remained stable and fairly sticky. While the overall deposits remained broadly flat from March 31, 2015 (Rs 14,474 crores) to March 31, 2018 (Rs 14,691 crores), the same is on account of the bank looking at reducing the share of the bulk deposits and focus on garnering more retail and granular deposits. This has resulted in the CASA + retail term deposit ratio for the bank being comfortable at 95.5% as of March 31, 2019 on total deposits of Rs 15,124 crores. Being a community linked bank previously, it has created a brand name among NRI's (non-resident Indians) in the South region which has provided steady inflow and stability to its deposit base. The bank also benefits substantially from a sticky and large NRI deposit base which too has remained stable. Deposit renewal rate over the past five fiscals has remained at above 85%. Even in the past one month, wherein there has in general been a deposit outflow from some private sector banks, the deposits for CSB Bank have increased marginally reflecting the stickiness of the depositor base for this bank. The stability is also reflected in the fact that the bank has also reduced its term deposit rates which has helped in reducing the cost of funds and yet not yet faced any withdrawal pressure. For the nine months through fiscal 2020, cost of deposit for the bank improved and stood at 5.9%, compared to 7.9% in fiscal 2016 (5.8% for fiscal 2019, 6.1% for fiscal 2018, and 6.8% for fiscal 2017). * Experienced management After significant deterioration in performance, the bank decided to change its management and appointed Mr. C VR Rajendran as the MD & CEO in November 2016. He has over 40 years of experience in the banking and finance sector and was previously associated with Corporation Bank, Andhra Bank and Bank of Maharashtra. He has also served as the chief executive of the Association of Mutual Funds in India. Since his appointment, the bank has initiated the cleanup of the book and recognised the accounts as NPA and adopted an accelerated provisioning policy. Along with Mr. Rajendran, other senior management experts were also appointed to lead different business verticals. Majority of the senior management has experience of more than 20 years in the banking domain. The bank has also started hiring mid- and low -level experienced staff for different verticals, thereby strengthening its entire team. Weaknesses: * Modest earnings profile amidst the significant recognition of NPAs On account of the deterioration in the asset quality, earnings profile of the bank had been impacted with the bank reporting losses in the past 2 fiscals owing to the accelerated provisioning adopted by the bank. Amidst the accelerated provisioning the bank has adequately provided for the accounts which were under stress. Consequently, the CRISIL adjusted provisioning ratio for the bank increased to 55% as of March 31, 2019 as compared to 25% as of March 31, 2017. However, in the nine months ended December 31, 2020 the bank reported profit of Rs 72 crore compared to a loss of Rs 197 crore for the full fiscal 2019 (loss of Rs 97 crore for fiscal 2018). The improvement in the earnings profile is also reflected in the fact that the pre-provisioning profit of the banks too has increased to Rs 173.59 crores in the nine months of fiscal 2020 as against Rs 51.48 crores the corresponding period in the previous fiscal. This has been supported by an improvement in the Net interest margin (NIM) owing to better cost of funds and improved yield on advances (average yield on portfolio stood at 8.6% for the nine months ended December 31, 2019 against 7.9% for the corresponding period in the last fiscal ). With the improvement in the asset quality metrics, credit costs too have subsequently improved, which also has supported the earnings profile. The credit costs for the bank stood at 0.5% for the nine months ended December 31, 2019 compared to 1.3% as on March 31, 2019 (1.1% as on March 31, 2018). With expectations of reduction in incremental slippages, increased focus on gold loan portfolio and stable deposit franchises, CRISIL believes that the earnings profile of the bank would improve over the medium term. * Modest asset quality The bank had a change in the management with the appointment of the current managing director, Mr C VR Rajendran, in 2016 and other senior management team since 2014 onwards. The management team, post capital infusion, had cushion in the metrics to initiate the cleanup in the bank. In the past, the gross NPA (GNPA) metrics for the bank was mainly on account of deterioration in the SME book owing to demonetisation as well as a few fraud cases. However, the management has taken considerable steps in the cleanup of the portfolio. For the new SME book (that is the book generated post-2016), the GNPA levels are well controlled at sub 2%. Consequent to the efforts, the asset quality improved to 3.22% as on December 31, 2019, from 7.89% as on March 31, 2018 (4.87% as on March 31, 2019). The slippages for the bank also improved to 1.83% for the nine months through fiscal 2020 compared 3.46% for fiscal 2018 (2.11% for fiscal 2019). * Modest scale of operations Post the issues seen in the past, the bank has clearly outlined its growth focus areas and has also narrowed down on sectors for operations with gold loans being the preferred segment. The bank's scale of operation, as reflected in deposits and advances still remains small with Rs 15,241 crore and Rs 10,808 crore respectively, as on December 31,2019. The bank, as on December 31, 2019, accounted for a small share of around 0.1% of deposits and advances in the banking system. The bank has a network of 414 branches as on December 31, 2019 with majority being in Kerala. |