Rating Rationale
January 30, 2024 | Mumbai
Citra Real Estate Limited
Rating reaffirmed
 
Rating Action
Rs.19 Crore Non Convertible DebenturesCRISIL AAA/Stable (Reaffirmed)
Note: None of the Directors on CRISIL Ratings Limited’s Board are members of rating committee and thus do not participate in discussion or assignment of any ratings. The Board of Directors also does not discuss any ratings at its meetings.
1 crore = 10 million
Refer to Annexure for Details of Instruments & Bank Facilities

Detailed Rationale

CRISIL Ratings has reaffirmed its rating on the non-convertible debentures (NCDs) of Citra Real Estate Ltd (CIREEL) at CRISIL AAA/Stable’.

 

CIREEL is a part of Vector Green Restricted Group (VGRG), which comprises six special purpose vehicles (SPVs), including CIREEL, Yarrow Infrastructure Pvt Ltd (YIPL), Malwa Solar Power Generation Pvt Ltd (MSPGPL), Vector Green Prayagraj Solar Pvt Ltd (VGPSPL), Sepset Constructions Ltd (SCL) and Priapus Infrastructure Limited (PIL). The aggregate amount of these NCDs of VGRG is Rs 1,237 crore.

 

In January 2023, Green Infra Wind Energy Limited (GIWEL), holding entity for Indian renewable business of Singapore-based Sembcorp Industries (SCI), acquired 100% interest in Vector Green Energy Pvt Ltd (VGEPL), the ultimate holding company of VGRG. Consequently, all VGEPL entities became wholly owned subsidiaries of GIWEL. CIREEL continues to be analysed as part of co-obligor group of VGRG, which is in turn ring-fenced from sponsors.

 

The rating reflects strong revenue visibility and counterparty profile, co-obligor structure of the SPVs, providing diversity, and healthy financial risk profile. These strengths are partially offset by exposure to risks inherent in operating solar energy assets and those related to refinancing.

Analytical Approach

CRISIL Ratings has combined the business and financial risk profiles of the six SPVs of VGRG, in line with the criteria of CRISIL Ratings for rating entities in homogeneous groups and equated the rating of the individual SPVs to the group. The six entities consolidated as VGRG are MSPGPL, CIREEL, YIPL, VGPSPL, SCPL and PIL. These entities are in a homogeneous group as they are in the same line of business of operating solar power assets, have common management and treasury team and are critical to VGRG.

 

Each of the SPVs acts as a co-obligor to the other, with each providing a corporate guarantee to the debt obligation and cross-default (that is, default on any condition in one SPV leads to default in all other SPVs) of all other SPVs. Following debt servicing in each SPV, excess cash flow is largely available for use across the group. Any deviation in this understanding shall be a key rating sensitivity factor.

 

Please refer Annexure - List of Entities Consolidated, which captures the list of entities considered and their analytical treatment of consolidation.

Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description

Strengths:

  • Strong revenue visibility and counterparty profile: All 256-megawatt (MW) projects within VGRG have 25-year power purchase agreements (PPAs) at pre-determined tariffs. The 250-MW projects (around 98% of portfolio by capacity) have PPAs with central counterparties—that is, Solar Energy Corporation of India and National Thermal Power Corporation—at tariffs ranging from Rs 4.36/kilowatt-hour (kWh) to Rs 5.45/kWh. The remaining 6-MW projects have PPAs at a fixed tariff for 25 years with Maharashtra State Electricity Development Corporation Ltd and Uttar Pradesh Power Corporation Ltd, with tariffs ranging from Rs 17.91/kWh to Rs 18.41/kWh.

 

The long-term PPAs provide revenue visibility and stability to cash flow. Payment track record across the projects has been healthy, with payment cycle largely in line with the PPA terms in the past few years. Additionally, projects have been operational for five years (capacity weighted average) and have a satisfactory performance track record, with above P90 plant load factor (PLF) performance (on aggregate basis) over the past four fiscals. PLF of fiscal 2023 stood at 24.6% as against 23.9% in fiscal 2022.

 

Going forward, the payment cycle should remain stable while PLF may remain at P90 levels or better. However, any significant build-up of receivables or continuous underperformance in the PLF will remain a key rating sensitivity factor.

 

  • Diversified geographical spread of assets with Co-obligor structure of SPVs providing diversity benefit to the group: The assets are spread across Rajasthan (27% of total capacity), Karnataka (20%), Uttar Pradesh (20%), Maharashtra (17%) and Madhya Pradesh (16%). The projects in Karnataka and Rajasthan are in solar parks, with a record of healthy irradiation levels.

 

All projects within each SPV are co-obligors for projects in the other five SPVs. Diversity of the group is reflected in its presence in five states and PPAs with four counterparties. With the presence of this co-obligor structure, surplus cash flow after debt servicing in any SPV will be available to fund shortfall (if any) in other SPVs, thus supporting the consolidated debt service coverage ratios (DSCRs). Additionally, as part of structure conditions, SPVs have undertaken that distributable surplus amount in any SPV shall first be utilized to cover any shortfall in debt servicing or maintain reserve in other SPVs before distribution to the sponsors.

 

  • Healthy financial risk profile: Financial risk profile is expected to be adequate, indicated by strong DSCR through the three-year tenure of the NCDs (at CRISIL Ratings-sensitised projections done at P90 PLF). Furthermore, liquidity is supported by a debt service reserve account (DSRA) of six months of debt obligation in the form of cash or bank guarantee without any recourse to project assets.

 

Financial risk profile is also supported by a cash sweep covenant. It specifies that if DSCR falls below 1.40 times in any year or 12-month period (depending upon the period of testing), then the entire surplus shall be swept and used for debt prepayment.

 

Weaknesses:

  • Exposure to refinancing risk: The VGRG SPVs are exposed to the risk of refinancing bullet of Rs 1,061 crore at the end of the three-year tenure in July 2024. That said, healthy business risk profile of the underlying assets and robust DSCRs over the available useful life of projects, extending to around 15 years (on a capacity weighted basis), and ability and track record of GIWEL/SCI to successfully refinance large quantum, partially offset refinancing risks. Team expects the facilities to get refinanced atleast 30 days before date of repayment.

 

  • Susceptibility to risks inherent in operating solar energy assets: The PLF for solar power projects is exposed to variability in climatic conditions and equipment, and evacuation-related risks. Given that the sensitivity of cash flow of a solar power project is the highest for PLF, these risks could severely impair debt servicing and free cash flow of such projects.

Liquidity: Superior

Liquidity in VGRG solar SPVs is driven by expected earnings before interest and depreciation of over Rs 208 crore and Rs 205 crore each in fiscals 2024 and 2025, respectively at P90 level of plant generation. The SPVs have yearly debt obligation of less than Rs 140 crore in both the fiscals. Additionally, no major capital expenditure has been planned in these years. The SPVs will have a DSRA of six months to cover any cash flow mismatch.

Outlook: Stable

The VGRG SPVs will continue to benefit from comfortable cash flow, backed by long-term PPAs and stable operational performance.

Rating Sensitivity factors

Downward factors

  • Performance declining below P90 PLF.
  • Increase in receivables to beyond three months (on an aggregate portfolio basis).
  • Non-adherence to the terms of the structure.

About the Company

CIREEL operates a 2-MW solar power plant in Maharashtra. The plant became operational in 2011. The company has signed a long-term PPA at a pre-determined tariff with MSEDCL.

About the Group

CIREEL is a part of GIWEL, which is the holding entity of all renewable SPVs of SCI in India. SCI is 49.5% owned by Temasek Holdings Pte Ltd (rated ’AAA/Stable/A-1+’ by S&P Global Ratings), and is a leading energy, water and urban development group operating across five continents. It has around 10 GW of renewable energy capacity of which around 6 GW is operational.  

Key Financial Indicators*

Particulars

Unit

2023

2022

Operating income

Rs crore

5

5

Profit after tax (PAT)

Rs crore

-1

2

PAT margin

%

-13.6

41.3

Adjusted debt / adjusted networth

Times

0.82

0.7

Interest coverage

Times

0.92

2.5

*Audited

Any other information: Not applicable

Note on complexity levels of the rated instrument:
CRISIL Ratings` complexity levels are assigned to various types of financial instruments and are included (where applicable) in the 'Annexure - Details of Instrument' in this Rating Rationale.

CRISIL Ratings will disclose complexity level for all securities - including those that are yet to be placed - based on available information. The complexity level for instruments may be updated, where required, in the rating rationale published subsequent to the issuance of the instrument when details on such features are available.

For more details on the CRISIL Ratings` complexity levels please visit www.crisilratings.com. Users may also call the Customer Service Helpdesk with queries on specific instruments.

Annexure - Details of Instrument(s)

ISIN

Name of instrument

Date of

allotment

Coupon

rate (%)

Maturity

date

Issue size

(Rs crore)

Complexity level

Rating assigned with outlook

INE969M07010

Non-convertible  debentures

01-Jul-21

6.49%

01-Jul-24

19.0

Simple

CRISIL AAA/Stable

Annexure – List of entities consolidated

Names of Entities Consolidated

Extent of Consolidation

Rationale for Consolidation

CIREEL

Full

Common management and sharing of cash flow

YIPL

Full

Common management and sharing of cash flow

MSPGPL

Full

Common management and sharing of cash flow

VGPSPL

Full

Common management and sharing of cash flow

SCL

Full

Common management and sharing of cash flow

PIL

Full

Common management and sharing of cash flow

Annexure - Rating History for last 3 Years
  Current 2024 (History) 2023  2022  2021  Start of 2021
Instrument Type Outstanding Amount Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Rating
Non Convertible Debentures LT 19.0 CRISIL AAA/Stable   -- 30-01-23 CRISIL AAA/Stable 22-11-22 CRISIL AAA/Watch Developing 29-06-21 CRISIL AAA/Stable --
      --   --   -- 12-05-22 CRISIL AAA/Stable 14-04-21 Provisional CRISIL AAA/Stable --
All amounts are in Rs.Cr.

         

Criteria Details
Links to related criteria
The Infrastructure Sector Its Unique Rating Drivers
Criteria for rating solar power projects
Criteria for rating entities belonging to homogenous groups
CRISILs Criteria for Consolidation

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