Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
Leading market position in the premium pan masala segment and strong business risk profile demonstrated by healthy recovery in fiscal 2021
DSL, the flagship company of the DS Group, has been in the tobacco and pan masala business for more than 80 years. DSL has remained one of the largest players in the Indian pan masala industry through its flagship brand, Rajnigandha (world’s largest selling premium pan masala), commanding 65-70% market share in a highly fragmented market. The company’s leadership position in the premium pan masala segment supports its strong operational and financial performance.
Despite the adverse impact of Covid-19 induced disruptions in first quarter of fiscal 2021, DSL has witnessed business recovery in subsequent quarters of the fiscal as evident by the moderate 14% decline in operating revenue in fiscal 2021 over the previous fiscal. This reflects the dominant position of its products and strong brand loyalty among customers. DSL had also undertaken cost rationalisation measures in the recent past, which shall further contribute to growth in overall metrics. DSL is focussed on securing backward integration of its key raw materials and has started production of the same at its facilities in Noida, Uttar Pradesh. The company also enjoys pricing power in a largely price-inelastic product segment (pan masala), which is exhibited by the successful price hikes implemented by the company in the past.
Strong pan India distribution network and healthy operating efficiency
DSL’s market position is supported by its established and strong pan India distribution network spanning more than 25,000 distributors and over 10 lakh retailers. The strength of this widespread distribution network is reflected in the group’s demonstrated ability to push sales of new products and variants. Aided by this network, the DS Group has successfully forayed into new product segments such spices, beverages, mouth fresheners, confectionary and dairy products (under brands such as Pulse, Catch, Pass Pass, Chingles and Ksheer) over the years, besides maintaining a dominant position in the pan masala and tobacco segments (under Rajnigandha, Tulsi and Tansen brands).
The Company has demonstrated sustained operating margin of 23-25% over the years including fiscal 2021. Prevailing decline in price of key raw materials along with cost cutting measures undertaken by the Company shall translate into additional cost savings in fiscal 2022. Going forward, operating margin is estimated to sustain at 23-25% in medium term. Return on capital employed (adjusted for cash) is estimated to sustain above 20% in medium term.
Healthy financial risk profile
DSL has consistently generated cash accruals greater than the requirement of its core business operations supported by sustained healthy revenue and profitability. Dependence on external borrowings has remained low because of strong capital base and healthy accrual, which have been sufficient to meet most of its funding requirements, as also reflected in its low leverage (total debt/tangible networth, or TOL/ TNW, of ~0.51 time as on March 31, 2021). This is despite DSL’s sizeable, regular outflows towards investments in various ventures to support the group’s diversification plans and other strategic investments in unrelated companies and start-ups. Liquidity is superior, characterised by sizeable cash and liquid investment balances and adequate undrawn working capital limits during the year (average utilisation of 30-35%). Debt coverage metrics are at comfortable levels with interest coverage and NCAAD expected at 24.63 times and 0.98 time, respectively, in fiscal 2022 (25.52 times and 0.60 time, respectively, in fiscal 2021).
DSL is expected to generate net cash accruals of ~Rs 600 crore and Rs 640 crore in fiscal 2022 and 2023.
Further, DSL has capital expenditure plan of Rs 100-150 crore per annum. While the company may go for inorganic growth, it will be funded prudently. As a result, adjusted Gearing is expected to further improve to 0.10-0.15x with TOL/TNW at 0.30-0.40x over the medium term.
Weaknesses:
Brand and product concentration risks
DSL’s dependence upon Rajnigandha pan masala sales has remained high, with 78-80% share in revenue during the last three years. While DSL had expanded its product portfolio in recent years, to include mouth fresheners, confectionaries and dairy products, the shifting of its confectionery business to a group entity from October 2019 has again increased DSL’s concentration on the pan masala segment. Besides heightened product and brand concentration risks, the company is now exposed to increased regulatory risk associated with the product category. The company has forayed into hydroponics business in fiscal 2021. Scalability of its diversified segments is critical to reduce its dependence on pan masala business and also improve RoCE.
Regulatory risks due to adverse health effects of pan masala
Pan masala, due to its adverse health effects, remains susceptible to changes in government policies related to its sale. The government disincentivises consumption of pan masala by levying high taxes and periodically increasing tax rates. Thus, the company’s ability to pass on the hikes in taxes remains critical for its sales growth and profits. The company also remains exposed to the risks related to the bans on pan masala, as witnessed in the first quarter of fiscal 2021, when a temporary ban was imposed by the government on manufacturing, sale and storage of pan masala and tobacco across India, to contain the spread of coronavirus. Although the company has transferred the tobacco business to another group entity, it remains exposed to regulatory risks associated with the pan masala segment.
Sizeable investment in group companies and external firms
The Company has investments in affiliates amounting ~Rs 150 crore during fiscal 2021 compared to ~Rs 110 crore in fiscal 2020 which is ~3% of the networth of the Company for the year. DSL continuously invests in its affiliate concerns to support diversification, business operations as well as scalability. Additionally, the company also invests in external firms linked with development of new technology, start-ups etc. for sustained improvement in operating efficiency. Return from investments have historically being below the desired level at ~4%. As a result, overall Return on Capital Employed (~17% in fiscal 2021) has been impacted with declining trend over the years. ROCE is expected to remain in the range of 15-20% in the medium term supported by healthy profitability of core business operations.