Rating Rationale
June 23, 2020 | Mumbai
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Limited
Ratings Reaffirmed
 
Rating Action
Total Bank Loan Facilities Rated Rs.1850 Crore
Long Term Rating CRISIL AA-/Stable (Reaffirmed)
Short Term Rating CRISIL A1+ (Reaffirmed)
1 crore = 10 million
Refer to annexure for Details of Instruments & Bank Facilities
Detailed Rationale

CRISIL has reaffirmed its 'CRISIL AA-/Stable/CRISIL A1+' ratings on the bank facilities of Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Limited (Glenmark).
 
The ratings continue to reflect the expected improvement in the company's key debt protection metrics over fiscals 2021 and 2022 led by sustained enhancement in the domestic and regulated market formulations business, healthy profitability, and gradual debt reduction. Revenue is expected to grow 7-8% over the medium term, backed by domestic growth of about 10%, healthy growth in Europe and rest-of-the-world segments but flat in the US.
 
After flat revenues in the US in fiscal 2020 due to pricing pressures and lower contribution from certain top products, growth is expected to recover to 4-5% over the medium term, led by healthy product pipeline and regular launches. The company had over 40 abbreviated new drug application (ANDAs) pending approval as on December 31, 2019. Furthermore, the likely launch of specialty product Ryaltris will provide traction in branded generics in the regulated markets.
 
Presence in the high-growth therapeutic segments of dermatology, cardiovascular, and respiratory in India will support Glenmark's growth momentum. After industry-wide regulatory hiccups in fiscals 2017 and 2018, growth in India was 16% in the first nine months of fiscal 2020 and is expected at 8-10% over the medium term. Further, the company's recent launch of Favipiravir drug for treatment of mild to moderate Covid-19 patients in India  is likely to support revenue growth in near term.
 
Despite the large working capital requirement, the ratio of gross debt to EBITDA is expected to improve over the medium term. The ratio is expected at 2.37 times as on March 31, 2021, as against the estimated 2.7 times as on March 31, 2020. The adjusted gearing is likely to improve to 0.72 time from 0.8 time. With steady profitability of about 17% and no major debt requirement, the metrics are expected to improve.
 
Liquidity is healthy, driven by liquid surplus of about Rs 1,000 crore as on December 31, 2019, and sufficient cash accrual to meet debt obligation. However, the repayment of bonds are back-ended in fiscals 2022 and 2023. Given the regular capital expenditure (capex) and incremental working capital requirement, the bonds are expected to be refinanced. Timely refinancing of bonds and any significant payouts for settlement of claims as per anti-trust ruling may impact liquidity and credit metrics and will be key monitorable.
 
Research and development (R&D) expenses will remain high at 12-13% of sales. The company will remain exposed to risks related to R&D in the innovative pipeline wherein investments are high and returns uncertain. Other than intermittent milestone payments, the company has not yet commercialised its innovative pipeline. As on December 31, 2019 Glenmark has invested ~Rs 600 crore in Ichnos Sciences Inc (Ichnos) for innovation in medicine through its transformative treatments in oncology, autoimmune disease and pain. The divestment plans in Ichnos is expected to reduce future R&D expenses and also help deleverage the company's balance sheet.
 
CRISIL also notes that the company's operations were not affected by the temporary supply disruption of key starting material due to Covid-19 outbreak in China since January 2020. However, supplies resumed towards the end of March 2020 and the company maintains an inventory of 60-90 days.  
 
The ratings continue to reflect the company's increasing presence in the international generics market, particularly the US, strong position in the fast-growing chronic-therapeutic segments in India, and moderate financial risk profile. These strengths are partially offset by stretched working capital cycle, high R&D expenditure primarily towards new molecules and differentiated generics, and exposure to regulatory risks and intensifying competition in the US generics market.

Analytical Approach

For arriving at the ratings, CRISIL has combined the business and financial risk profiles of Glenmark and its 43 subsidiaries. All the entities, collectively referred to as Glenmark, operate in the pharmaceutical segment, and have significant operational linkages and a common management. CRISIL has also amortised goodwill arising from consolidation and intangibles over five years.

Please refer Annexure - List of entities consolidated , which captures the list of entities considered and their analytical treatment of consolidation.

Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths
* Growing presence in the international generics market
Glenmark has a growing presence in the US and Europe, which together accounted for about 40% of the company's revenue in the first nine months of fiscal 2020. The generics segment revenues are estimated to have remained flat in fiscal 2020 due to pricing pressure and lower contribution from certain top products. However, the launch of new products and healthy pipeline is expected to support growth over the medium term. Further, the new facility at Monroe (US) will also contribute to revenue growth as the facility has received its first ANDA approval in May 2020. Glenmark has an established position in the semi-regulated markets of Africa, Asia, Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), Latin America, and Central and Eastern Europe.

* Strong position in the chronic-therapeutic segments
In the domestic formulations market, Glenmark is ranked 14th as per IQVIA MAT (moving annual total) December 2019. It has 9 brands in the top 300 as on December 31, 2019. The domestic market accounted for 30% of total revenues in the first nine months of fiscal 2020. Revenue grew 16% during the period and is expected to grow 8-10% over the medium term led by the company's strong market position in the chronic therapeutic segments such as dermatology, respiratory, diabetes, and cardiovascular therapy.

* Moderate financial risk profile
The financial risk profile is expected to improve over the medium term. Stretched working capital cycle and sizeable capex have meant continued high reliance on debt. The capital structure is, therefore, leveraged as compared to other pharmaceutical players. However, because of steady accretion to reserve and no incremental addition to gross debt, gearing is expected to improve to 0.7 time over the medium term. Notwithstanding high R&D expense of 12-13%, annual cash accrual is expected at Rs 1,100-1,200 crore over the medium term, which will be sufficient to meet term debt obligation and working capital requirement. Further, the divestment of V-Wash brand in fiscal 2020 will also provide additional cash surplus. Annual capex is moderate at Rs 800-900 crore. The financial risk profile is supported by adequate debt protection metrics, with interest coverage ratio estimated at 4.8 times for fiscal 2020. The divestment plans in Ichnos and other non-core assets is expected to help deleverage the company's balance sheet over the medium term.

Weaknesses
* Large working capital requirement

Glenmark's working capital cycle is stretched due to significant presence in emerging economies. Gross current assets (GCA) remained high at an estimated 256 days as on March 31, 2020. Though GCAs have reduced from 300 days as on March 31, 2015, they are higher than domestic peers. GCAs will remain sizeable, given the large working capital requirement in the US and semi-regulated markets. Moderate payables and short-term bank borrowings cover working capital requirement.

* High R&D expenditure, primarily towards new molecule entities (NMEs) and differentiated generics
R&D expenditure has been higher than that of many peers because of focus on new molecules and differentiated generics. The company has signed out-licensing deals and received cumulative revenue of more than USD 200 million since 2004. Excluding non-core R&D assets, Glenmark had a pipeline of 5 NMEs and specialty generics/biosimilars as of December 2019. Further Ryaltris is near approval in the US, as the company is resolving the issues raised by USFDA and is expected to be launched in the near term. R&D expense has increased in recent years as a few molecules have progressed to the advanced clinical trials stage. Uncertainty regarding revenue visibility and R&D leads to investment risk. However, the company's strategy and focus on out-licensing molecules as it reaches advanced stages will help maintain R&D expenditure at 12-13% of sales over the medium term. Further in fiscal 2020 company has incorporated Ichnos for innovation in medicine through its transformative treatments in oncology, autoimmune disease and pain. Additionally, the company plans to monetize the pipeline over the medium term and utilize the proceeds towards debt reduction.

* Exposure to intensifying competition and regulatory risks
There is intense competition and pricing pressure in regulated generics markets because of increasingly aggressive defense tactics of innovator companies through introduction of authorised generics, especially for blockbuster drugs going off patent. Furthermore, generic players in the regulated markets are adversely affected by severe price erosion because of the commoditised products, and by intense competition and considerable consolidation in distribution channels. Glenmark is also exposed to regulatory risks in both domestic and regulated markets. Further, the company's plant at Baddi (Himachal Pradesh) has received a warning letter from US FDA in October 2019. The company is remediating the observations and expects to complete the process in fiscal 2021.
Liquidity Strong

Cash accrual, expected at Rs 1,100 crore in fiscal 2021 should comfortably cover annual debt obligation of Rs 350-450 crore. Annual capex stands at Rs 800-900 crore. Back-ended repayment on bonds in fiscals 2022 and 2023 are expected to be refinanced. Working capital requirement will remain large, with GCAs expected to be over 250 days over the medium term. Bank limit utilisation was modest at 35% on average over the 12 months through March 2020.

Outlook: Stable

CRISIL believes Glenmark's capital structure will continue to deleverage over the medium term led by healthy growth momentum and sustained profitability.

Rating Sensitivity factors
Upward Factors
* Decline in gearing and ratio of gross debt to EBITDA to below 0.7 time and to 1.5 times, respectively
* Larger-than-expected cash flow led by revenue growth or improved operating profitability
* Sustained improvement in the working capital cycle

Downward Factors
* Increase in working capital requirement, any large debt-funded capex, or acquisitions, keep gearing and ratio of gross debt to EBITDA above 1.3 times and 2.8 times, respectively
* Lower-than-expected revenue growth and sharp reduction in operating profitability, below 15% impacting cash generation
* Significant payouts for settlement of claims as per anti-trust ruling, impacting liquidity and credit metrics.
About the Company

Incorporated in 1977, Glenmark was promoted by the late Mr Gracias Anthony Saldanha. His son, Mr Glenn Saldanha, is now the chairman and managing director. The company manufactures pharmaceutical formulations and active pharmaceutical ingredients, which it markets in India and abroad. It also undertakes R&D on new chemical and biological entities. As on March 31, 2020, the promoters held 46.62% stake in Glenmark, foreign portfolio investors held 28.51%, and the balance was held by the public and others.
 
For the first nine months of fiscal 2020, Glenmark registered revenue of Rs 7,873 crore and profit after tax of Rs 556 crore, as against Rs 7,302 crore and Rs 763 crore, respectively, for the corresponding period of the previous fiscal.

Key Financial Indicators
Particulars Unit 2019 2018
Revenue Rs crore 9877.0 9087.0
Adjusted profit after tax* Rs crore 872 752
PAT margin % 8.8 8.3
Adjusted debt/Adjusted networth* Times 0.80 0.91
Interest coverage Times 5.32 5.98
*Adjusted for intangibles and goodwill amortisation

Any other information: Not applicable

Note on complexity levels of the rated instrument:
CRISIL complexity levels are assigned to various types of financial instruments. The CRISIL complexity levels are available on www.crisil.com/complexity-levels. Users are advised to refer to the CRISIL complexity levels for instruments that they consider for investment. Users may also call the Customer Service Helpdesk with queries on specific instruments.
Annexure - Details of Instrument(s)
ISIN Name of instrument Date of allotment Coupon rate (%) Maturity date Issue size
(Rs.Crore)
Rating assigned
With outlook
NA Working capital demand loan NA NA Jan- 21 145.0 CRISIL AA-/Stable
NA Cash credit NA NA NA 325.0 CRISIL AA-/Stable
NA Long-term loan NA NA NA* 100.0 CRISIL AA-/Stable
NA Letter of credit NA NA NA 100.0 CRISIL A1+
NA Bank guarantee NA NA NA 10.0 CRISIL A1+
NA Short-term loan NA NA Jan- 21 720.0 CRISIL A1+
NA Proposed short-term bank loan facility NA NA NA 450.0 CRISIL A1+
*Not availed
 
Annexure - List of Entities Consolidated
Names of entities consolidated Extent of consolidation Rationale for consolidation
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals (Europe) R&D Ltd., U.K. Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Europe Ltd., U.K. Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals S.R.O. Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals SK, S.R.O. Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Ichnos Sciences SA (Formerly known as Glenmark Pharmaceuticals S. A.) Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Holding S.A. Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals S.R.L Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals  SP z.o.o. Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glepmark Pharmaceuticals Inc. Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Therapeutics Inc. Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Farmaceutica Ltda Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Generics S.A Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Mexico, S.A. DE C.V. Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Peru SAC Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Colombia SAS, Colombia Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Uruguay S.A. Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Venezuela, C.A Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Dominicana SRL Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Egypt S.A.E. Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals FZE Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Impex L.L.C Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Philippines Inc. Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals (Nigeria) Ltd Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals  Malaysia Sdn Bhd Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals (Australia) Pty Ltd Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark South Africa (pty) Ltd Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals South Africa (pty) Ltd Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals (Thailand) Co. Ltd Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals B.V. Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Arzneimittel Gmbh Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Canada Inc. Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Kenya Ltd Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Therapeutics AG
(liquidated w.e.f December 2, 2019)
Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Viso Farmaceutca S.L., Spain Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Specialty SA Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Distribution s.r.o. Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Nordic AB Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Ukraine LLC Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark-Pharmaceuticals Ecuador S.A. Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Singapore Pte. Ltd. Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Ichnos Sciences Biotherapeutics SA (Formerly known as Glenmark Biotherapeutics SA) Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
lchnos Sciences Inc., USA (w.e.f. 31 May, 2019) Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Glenmark Life Sciences Limited (Formerly known as Zorg Laboratories Pvt Ltd) Full common management, business synergies, and common promoters
Annexure - Rating History for last 3 Years
  Current 2020 (History) 2019  2018  2017  Start of 2017
Instrument Type Outstanding Amount Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Rating
Fund-based Bank Facilities  LT/ST  1740.00  CRISIL AA-/Stable/ CRISIL A1+      01-04-19  CRISIL AA-/Stable/ CRISIL A1+  10-01-18  CRISIL AA-/Negative/ CRISIL A1+      CRISIL AA-/Negative/ CRISIL A1+ 
Non Fund-based Bank Facilities  LT/ST  110.00  CRISIL A1+      01-04-19  CRISIL A1+  10-01-18  CRISIL A1+      CRISIL A1+ 
All amounts are in Rs.Cr.
Annexure - Details of various bank facilities
Current facilities Previous facilities
Facility Amount (Rs.Crore) Rating Facility Amount (Rs.Crore) Rating
Bank Guarantee 10 CRISIL A1+ Bank Guarantee 10 CRISIL A1+
Cash Credit 325 CRISIL AA-/Stable Cash Credit 325 CRISIL AA-/Stable
Letter of Credit 100 CRISIL A1+ Letter of Credit 100 CRISIL A1+
Long Term Loan 100 CRISIL AA-/Stable Long Term Loan 100 CRISIL AA-/Stable
Proposed Short Term Bank Loan Facility 450 CRISIL A1+ Proposed Short Term Bank Loan Facility 450 CRISIL A1+
Short Term Loan 720 CRISIL A1+ Short Term Loan 720 CRISIL A1+
Working Capital Demand Loan 145 CRISIL AA-/Stable Working Capital Demand Loan 145 CRISIL AA-/Stable
Total 1850 -- Total 1850 --
Links to related criteria
CRISILs Approach to Financial Ratios
CRISILs Bank Loan Ratings - process, scale and default recognition
Rating criteria for manufaturing and service sector companies
Rating Criteria for the Pharmaceutical Industry
CRISILs Bank Loan Ratings
CRISILs Criteria for Consolidation

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