Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
* Majority ownership by, and strategic importance to, Ashok Leyland and the Hinduja group
The Hinduja group entities held 99.35% in HLF as on December 31, 2021, with Ashok Leyland being the primary shareholder with around 68.80% stake. With the recent in-principle approval from the board, HLF plans to list itself on stock exchange and go public, - ALL post the transaction is- is likely to have majority stake.
The Ashok Leyland portfolio vehicles constituted around 34% of HLF’s portfolio as on December 31, 2021. Existing shareholders have also infused capital at regular intervals; and have infused fresh capital of around Rs 650 crore since June 2017.
The company is also planning to raise an interim funding from third parties before the listing in order to comply with the listing requirements of public shareholding . Nevertheless, CRISIL Ratings understands that the shareholding of ALL would continue to remain as controlling majority - and the same would therefore remain as the single largest shareholding in HLF. Consequently, CRISIL Ratings doesn’t envisage any change in the strategic importance of HLF to ALL and believes that HLF will continue to receive strategic support from Ashok Leyland over the medium term.
* Significant presence in the Indian vehicle finance market
Scale of operations had improved, with AUM recording 18% CAGR over the past four fiscals, to Rs 27,294 crore as on March 31, 2021. However, growth has been subdued amidst the low disbursements reported due to second wave of Covid-19, followed by the rise in the fuel prices, with AUM shrinking by 5% (year-to-date) over the first nine-months of fiscal 2022, to reach Rs 25,859 crore as on December 31, 2021.
Vehicle loans accounted for bulk of the portfolio (77%), making HLF a large player in the vehicle finance space. The balance portfolio comprises loans against property or LAP (18% share) and portfolio buyouts. HLF forayed into these segments so as to diversify its business mix and increase the share of the non-vehicle portfolio.
Within vehicle finance, commercial vehicles/construction equipment/tipper accounted for 50% of the AUM, followed by new two- and three-wheelers (16%), and other vehicles (~11%). The loan book is also well-diversified in terms of geographic reach, as HLF is present at more than 1,500 locations cross 24 states and union territories.
Weakness:
* Moderate asset quality metrics and earnings profile
Asset quality metrics, remained elevated, with delinquencies at 5% as on December 31, 2021, [as measured by 90 days past due (dpd)], as compared to 4.0% as on March 31, 2021 and 4.4% as on March 31, 2020. The increase in delinquencies was in line with the industry. Collection efficiencies after dropping to 74%[1] in May 2021, following the second-wave and state-wise lockdowns, have improved to 108%2 for December 2021 and have remained comfortable from June 2021 onwards.
Segment-wise, the 90+ dpd in vehicle portfolio stood at 5.7% as on December 31, 2021, as against 4.5% as on March 31, 2021. LAP 90+ dpd stood at 1.7% as on December 31, 2021, vis-a-vis 1.4% as on March 31, 2021. Also, under the one-time restructuring scheme announced by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), HLF has restructured around 7.7% of portfolio as on December 31, 2021. The company is trying to reduce its focus on first-time users/buyers, and rather increase the share of large and medium fleet operators to support asset quality metrics in the medium term. Further, while the company has forayed into non-vehicle loans, this segment is relatively new, having been built up only over the last few years.
The earnings profile is marked by relatively lower net interest margin (NIMs), though partly aided by the operating expenses ratio, which lags the industry average. NIMs have fallen sharply from their levels seen in fiscal 2014, in line with change in focus towards the competitive strategic segment. Annualised NIM fell to 3.9% for the first nine months of fiscal 2022, owing to low revenue and limited growth. On the other hand, due to increased provisioning, credit cost also remained elevated at 2.5% (annualised) in the first nine months of fiscal 2022, as against 2.7% in fiscal 2021 and 2.4% for fiscal 2020. Consequently, return on managed assets (RoMA) remained stable at 1.0% (annualised) in the nine months ended December 31, 2021 aided by reduction in operating expenses and increase in other income. Ability to manage asset quality amidst the weak macro-economic environment, and hence, credit cost, will remain a key monitorable. In the long-run, asset quality management as the portfolio seasons and scales up will be the key determinant of earnings profile of the company.