Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
- Strong capitalisation position supported by high pedigree of investor base
Incred is well-capitalised, with networth of Rs 2,260 crore with a low gearing of 1.5 times as on June 30, 2022. This marks a significant improvement from Rs 595 crore of networth as on March 31, 2019. The company commenced its operations with a networth of around Rs 500 crore, mainly contributed by the founder’s company – Bee Finance Ltd (Mauritius). In fiscal 2019, Incred raised optionally convertible debentures (OCDs) in fiscal 2017, and converted them to equity in fiscal 2019 (April 2018) to the tune of Rs 116 crore from Investcorp (IDFC Private Equity) and Paragon Partners. Furthermore, during April and May 2019, Incred raised compulsorily convertible preference shares (CCPS) of Rs 427 crore from institutional investors such as FMO (the Netherlands Development Finance Company), OAKS Asset Management (Formerly known as Alpha Capital), Moore Strategic Ventures, and Elevar Equity. Most recently, the company’s networth increased from Rs 1112 crore on March 31, 2022 to Rs 2260 crore as of June 30, 2022 – benefitting from the implementation of the scheme of corporate reorganization and internal accretions over Q1 FY 2023.
CRISIL Ratings believes Incred’s capital position is strong with regards to its scale and nature of operations, supported by its demonstrated ability to raise capital from existing as well as new investors.
- Experienced promoters and senior management team
Incred was promoted in 2016, by Mr Bhupinder Singh, Whole Time Director and Chief Executive Officer. Having been associated with Deutsche Bank with his last stint as head of the Corporate Finance division and the co-head of the Fixed Income, Equities and Investment Banking divisions for the Asia Pacific region, Mr Singh has a professional experience of over two decades. Over its operating history, the company’s senior management team has gained strength, and now comprises renowned professionals from various industry sections.
Mr Vivek Bansal, Incred’s Chief Financial Officer (CFO), has experience of two decades, which include leadership stints in Fidelity Investments (London) and Standard Chartered (Mumbai). Prior to Incred, Mr Bansal served as deputy CFO of YES Bank and Group Head of Finance. Mr Ashwin Sekar, who is the Chief Product and Technology Officer, had been associated with companies such as Gain Credit for over 13 years. The business side is headed by Mr Saurabh Jhalaria who has almost 20years of work experience and was earlier Managing Director – Singapore operations at Deutsche Bank. Mr Prithvi Chandrasekhar (Chief Risk Officer), has held various positions across several companies, including Capital One and McKinsey over a professional stint of over 25 years. This team of senior executives reports to a board comprising veterans from the financial services industry. These include independent directors, nominee directors from investor bodies and a few representatives from the senior management team of Incred.
- Diversified loan portfolio
InCred had a diversified loan portfolio of Rs 4,676 crore as on June 30, 2022 which marks a quarterly growth of 23% (non-annualised). This growth was driven by addition of erstwhile KKR India’s wholesale loan portfolio to Incred’s overall AUM as part of the corporate reorganization. As on June 30, 2022, the AUM mix consists of personal loans (35%), secured school financing (11%), student loans (12%), lending to NBFCs (11%) and anchor & escrow backed business lines (18%). Apart from these, erstwhile KKR India’s wholesale portfolio also constitutes 13% of the AUM now. This book is spread across 5 group accounts and is expected to run down in the near to medium term.
In the initial phase of erstwhile Incred Financial Services Ltd, growth in the loan portfolio was driven by higher focus on wholesale segments such as supply chain financing and lending to financial institutions and escrow-backed lending which, which cumulatively formed 76% of the total loan book as on June 30, 2017. These segments were followed by unsecured business loans, which formed another 18% of the loan portfolio with slightly higher degree of granularity. However, eventual growth corresponded with diversification across asset segments with more focus on retail loans. Thereafter, the company ventured into segments such as personal loans and two-wheeler loans, and also tapped the niche segment of education loans via student loans and secured school funding. Over time, concentration around wholesale segments has reduced and the loan book has diversified across retail segments. Presently, 87% of AUM is composed of retail secured and unsecured loans. And the 13% exposure to structured lending book acquired from KKR India will eventually decline as the book gets paid off fully by end of fiscal 2023.
Also, given low correlation between these segments, CRISIL Ratings believes that the diversified loan portfolio supports the overall business profile, especially in case of stress in any one segment.
Weaknesses:
- Moderate earnings profile
Owing to the nascent scale of operations, operating expenses of Incred, though correcting, have remained high attributed to support costs, especially employee and technology-linked expenses. Furthermore, on-boarding of senior management to lead respective asset segments has also contributed to the high employee expenses. In fiscal 2020, the company focused on optimizing cost and overall operating expense increase was controlled at 19%. However, the business growth was less than what was budgeted, as AUM grew at 17% over the year on account of cautious origination in some segments and overall challenging macroeconomic environment for most part of the year. Disbursements in the last quarter of fiscal 2020 were also impacted because of the lockdown. Resultantly, the operating expense ratio for the year remained high at 6.9%. During this period, the company’s strategic exit from its housing finance subsidiary led to recognition of Rs 6.2 crore as impairment which also contributed to the high operating expenses. Additionally, write-offs of Rs 35 crore primarily in the personal loans and non-anchor supply chain segments and dedicated Covid-19 linked provisioning of Rs 5 crore further constrained the profitability. This translated to a low RoMA of 0.2% for fiscal 2020 (0.2% for fiscal 2019). However, upon adjusting for one-time impairment loss and Covid-19 provisioning, RoMA stood at 1.1% for fiscal 2020.
For fiscal 2021, Incred reported a net profit of Rs 10 crore, after factoring in higher provisioning and write offs of Rs 89 crore and non-cash ESOP expenses of Rs 10.3 crore. Consequently, the RoMA for fiscal 2021 was 0.4%, and after adjusting for this one-time/ non-cash expenses, annualised RoMA is estimated at ~1.6%. Credit cost rose to 3.7% in fiscal 2021, compared with 2.6% in fiscal 2020.
For fiscal 2022, the company reported an annualized RoMA of 1.1% corresponding to a net profit of Rs 36 crore. After adjusting for non-cash ESOP expenses, demerger related legal expenses incurred and net charge on P&L due to sale of two-wheeler portfolio, the annualized RoMA for the period was about 1.6%. For Q1-FY2023, the company’s profitability has improved materially, resulting in a RoMA of 2.8% (non-annualised) for the quarter.
Given the provisioning policy, coupled with sustained focus on tightening costs and operating expenses, CRISIL Ratings expects Incred’s profitability to sustain at levels higher than that seen in the past in normal course of business. However, Incred’s ability to scale up the portfolio, enhance recoveries and improve profitability while keeping credit costs low, will be a key rating sensitivity factor.
- Asset quality remains a monitorable
Given the relatively short track record of operations and low, thought increasing, seasoning in the loan portfolio, asset quality of the book remains untested. As on March 31, 2020, GNPA stood at 2.8%, as compared to 1.8% as on March 31, 2018. Elevation in non-performing assets stemmed from challenges faced within personal loans and non-anchor business loan segments wherein the company also took write-offs of Rs 35 crore. During fiscal 2021, GNPAs rose to 4.5% by December 31, 2020 amidst tepid economic environment. However, following the recovery in Q4 2021, GNPAs reduced to 3.4% as of March 31, 2021 which – after the pandemic’s second wave, again elevated marginally to 3.9% [including the impact of 0.65% points due to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) circular of November 2021 on NPA recognition] as on December 31, 2021. However, following the revival in collections thereafter, GNPA as on June 30, 2022 improved to 2.4%.
In terms of collections, when calculated after giving benefit of over-dues, collections improved to 100% in March 2021, from 89% in September 2020. However, impacted by the pandemic’s second wave and the sporadic lockdown that followed, monthly collection efficiency for the non – NPA portfolio, over Q1-FY2022 has ranged between 96-98%. For the month of May 2022, collection efficiency of the overall book was 99.4%. Going forward, the company’s ability to scale up operations, while maintaining asset quality and profitability at adequate levels amidst business challenges, will be key rating sensitivity factors.
- Moderate scale of operations and market position with limited seasoning
As on June 30, 2022, Incred’s AUM stood at Rs 4676 crore, as compared to Rs 3804 crore, a quarter ago - registering a growth of 23% (non-annualised) over this period. However, the AUM is spread across seven asset classes. While this gives Incred the benefit of diversity, scale of operations and market position remains moderate within each asset class. In the aftermath of the pandemic’s second wave, the AUM dipped marginally towards the end of Q1 2022 however, the growth has restored since then. As the portfolio continues to gain vintage, the company’s ability to profitably scale the portfolio across diverse segments remains to be demonstrated.