Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
Strategic importance to, and expectation of strong financial support from, the parent, Credit Saison Co. Ltd., Japan:
Credit Saison group has been in the consumer finance business for 70 years, primarily offering credit card and retail finance products. It has been in the credit card business since inception, with finance and other businesses being added to the portfolio 2001 onwards. Given the track record of operations, Credit Saison is amongst the top 3 credit card companies in Japan and also offers credit cards in alliance with leading businesses across different industries. The group currently has around 37 million cardholders under its portfolio and holds a shopping transaction value market share of ~13% in the Japanese credit card industry. Since 2001, the group has been continuously investing towards product diversification and currently has various products under its portfolio spanning across 5 verticals – payments, finance, leasing, real-estate and entertainment. In order to ensure strong growth, Credit Saison has been expanding its operations globally and over the past 7 years has established presence in 10 countries through its subsidiaries and affiliates. With the consistent efforts towards growth through both segmental and geographical diversification, the group has been able to reach the asset size (total receivables outstanding) of Rs 185,002 crore[1] as on December 31, 2021 at a consolidated level.
Credit Saison group’s credit profile is also supported by strong capitalisation metrics as the group has been generating sufficient internal accruals over the past several years. The networth of the group stood at Rs 36,4341 crore as on December 31, 2021 while the consolidated capital adequacy ratio was ~15.3%. The group has also been consistently generating healthy profits for the past 12 years. This is despite significant event-linked challenges including the Great East Japan earthquake, Money Lending Business Act and development of a new technology system, amongst others. For the year ended March 31, 2021, the group reported profit after tax (PAT) of Rs 2428 crore[2] and profit after tax of Rs 2354 crore2 for the nine months ended on December 31, 2021.
The group has also managed its asset quality well over the past decade with peak 90+ dpd at 3.54% (consolidated) in fiscal 2010 due to the global financial crisis. Between fiscal 2014 and fiscal 2020 too, the 90+ dpd has been very stable in the range of 1.48% to 1.69% (consolidated). Even during the Covid pandemic period, the asset quality has remained under control. With the increased focus on collections, the consolidated 90+ dpd decreased to 1.09% as on December 31, 2021 from 1.3% as on March 31, 2021 and 1.5% as on March 31, 2020.
Credit Saison Group plans to invest heavily towards the geographical expansion, specifically in the emerging markets and aims to become the leading neo-finance company in Asia. In line with the overall group strategy on geographical expansion, India is one of the most important markets for the group where the group plans to scale up its business rapidly with a focus on Consumer and MSME segments. As a part of the growth strategy, despite the Indian operations starting from 2019, the group has already infused equity capital of Rs 1,088 crore of which Rs 250 crores was infused in fiscal 2021 and another Rs 350 crores in August 2021. The support from the parent is also visible in arranging the debt funding support likely to be provided to the Indian operations through common Japanese bank relationships.
Further, the group maintains strong oversight on the Indian operations with deployment of senior management personnel from the Credit Saison Group in the operations of Credit Saison India. Credit Saison India board is controlled by the parent with Mr Katsumi Mizuno, Mr Kosuke Mori and Mr Yasuyuki Isobe as the common board of directors/ managing executive officers. The risk management policies, systems and processes used by Credit Saison India are centrally approved by the parent. The shared brand and the complete ownership also enhances the expectation of support from Credit Saison Group, if needed. Any material disruption in the Indian operations could, in CRISIL's view, have a significant impact on the reputation and franchise of the parent. Credit Saison India is expected to continue to benefit from the strong support from the Credit Saison Group. Any change in the management control by, or expectation of support from, Credit Saison Group will remain a key rating sensitivity factor.
Strong capitalisation:
Capitalization metrics are strongly supported by regular equity infusion by the parent. The parent has infused Rs 1,088 crore since inception. As a result of regular infusions by the parent entity, the reported networth of the company stood at Rs 1115 crore as on December 31, 2021, as against Rs 739.1 crore as on March 31, 2021 and Rs 470.5 crore as on March 31, 2020. The gearing metrics also remained low at 0.5 time as on the same date. Nevertheless, the company has started raising funds from banks/NBFCs and is expected to increase its debt profile with scaling up of operations. The company plans to maintain a steady state net gearing of 2-3 times in the short to medium term.
Weakness:
Nascent stage of operations with limited seasoning of portfolio
Credit Saison India has put in place strong risk management systems and policies, which ensures continuous monitoring of its borrowers as well as co-lending partners right from the stage of screening and selection. The company has a well-defined process, right from shortlisting of the partner to monitoring the portfolio performance.
The asset quality metrics also remained protected by the Credit Enhancement covers provided by the partner entities under co-lending vertical.
With the strong risk management systems put in place by the company and the risk-sharing with partners through hypothecation in receivables under wholesale lending and credit enhancement cover under co-lending, the asset quality metrics in terms of 90+ dpd remained comfortable at 0.26% as on December 31, 2021, as against 0.21% in fiscal 2021 and nil in fiscal 2020. Post accounting the credit enhancement, the 90+ dpd will be at 0.02% as on December 31, 2021 and 0.004% as on March 31, 2021.
In terms of collection efficiency[3] also, the company has shown resilience during this pandemic period. Within the wholesale segment which constitutes 70% of the portfolio, the company has reported 98-100% collection efficiency throughout the pandemic, including the moratorium period (April 2020 – August 2020) and second-wave of Covid-19 (April 2021 – June 2021). The efficiency ratio continued to remain stable at 100% in December 2021.
On the other hand, in case of co-lending, the collection efficiency numbers were impacted in April 2020 dropping to 67% from 88% in March 2020. However, the same had improved to 95% in March, 2021. The collections under co-lending were again impacted in April 2021 and May 2021, due to the second-wave of Covid-19 and reached 87% and 89%, respectively. However, the same began to improve June onwards, with collection efficiency increasing to 94% in June 2021. In December 2021, the collection efficiency remained at 96%.
Nevertheless, the portfolio currently lacks seasoning and how the company uses its risk mitigants to maintain the asset quality remains to be seen. In addition to the existing business, the Company is evaluating the future roadmap and will start direct lending over the next few years. Therefore, sustenance on the asset quality metrics while scaling the portfolio up is a key monitorable.
Earnings profile expected to be constrained by high operating expenses as the company scales up
Credit Saison India turned profitable within 1 year of initiating its lending operations, with it reporting a profit after tax (PAT) of Rs 12.1 crore in fiscal 2021. This has been achieved due to low credit costs supported by the Credit Enhancements and nil cost of borrowings as the company remained debt-free during the given period. In the first nine months of fiscal 2022 also, the company continued to generate profits with profit after tax of Rs 19.6 crore for the period ending December 31, 2021. However, the earnings remained constrained due to moderate operating expenses. Operating expenses (as a percentage of advances) stood at 6.9% (annualized) as on December 31, 2021. Since the company is still at nascent stage of its operations, the operating expenses are expected to remain moderate, as the company invests more on technology, employees and risk management. Improvement of the earnings profile as the company scales up its operations therefore remains a key sensitivity factor.