Strengths: *Established market position in the gold finance business The family of the promoter, Mr V P Nandakumar, has been in the gold-loan business for more than 60 years. Based on this industry experience, the company has designed an appropriate assessment and underwriting methodology. Assessing the purity of gold, fixing the sum that can be lent against a gram of gold, and determining appropriate loan-to-value ratios are critical aspects in the assessment process. The company has a strong brand value and reputation in South India (particularly Kerala and Tamil Nadu). Reputation and trust play a significant role in this financing segment as these give the customer an assurance of getting back their personal gold ornaments once the loan is repaid. After shifting towards shorter tenure gold loans of 3 months since 2015 to de-risk the portfolio from sharp fluctuations in gold prices, the company has witnessed stability in business with an increase in customer base and gold holdings. The company has also seen an increase in the re-pledging of gold by existing customers, indicating higher customer retention. Delinquencies have also reduced leading to fewer auctions. * Sound capitalisation The consolidated networth was Rs 4,715 crore and gearing was 3.4 times as on June 30, 2019. Large accretion to networth and moderation in gold loan growth in the past two fiscals resulted in a healthy standalone capital adequacy ratio of 23.2% as on June 30, 2019. Lower asset-side risk (security of gold, which is liquid and is in the lender's possession) also supports capitalisation. AUM in the gold loan segment is expected to grow at a steady rate over the medium term. Also, other segments (microfinance, housing finance, and vehicle finance) have a relatively small scale. CRISIL understands that the group intends to cap its capital allocation to the microfinance segment at 10% due to its unsecured nature of business, and therefore, will look for external investors at the segment level. Therefore, despite continuation of rapid growth in the microfinance segment, the consolidated gearing is not expected to exceed 5 times over the medium term, though this will remain a key rating monitorable. * Strong profitability driven by high gross spreads and low credit cost Profitability has remained strong with a consolidated RoMA of 4.7% during fiscal 2019 and 5% (annualised) for the first quarter of fiscal 2020. The profitability was supported by the high profit generated by the gold loan and MFI businesses. The gold loan segment reported profit of Rs 790 crore in fiscal 2019, up from Rs 700 crore in fiscal 2018. The profits were Rs 220 crore in the first quarter of fiscal 2020. The profitability has been sustained due to reduction in auction losses and increased focus on collection. The microfinance segment reported a profit of Rs 133 crore during fiscal 2019 against a loss of Rs 10 crore in fiscal 2018. The home finance segment, in its fourth year of operations, achieved breakeven in fiscal 2019 with a profit of Rs 3 crore. In the first quarter of fiscal 2020, the gold loan segment had a profit of Rs 220 crore, the microfinance segment Rs 49 crore, and the housing finance segment Rs 0.9 crore. The consolidated yield increased to 23.4% in fiscal 2019 from 21.7% in fiscal 2018 aided by the microfinance and home loan portfolio. The yield was at 23.7% in the first quarter of fiscal 2020. Operating cost reduced due to the benefits of operating leverage in fiscal 2019 with a year-on-year portfolio growth of 23% in fiscal 2019 as against 15% a year earlier. The portfolio grew at 21.5% in the first quarter of fiscal 2020. With steady improvement in GNPA, the credit cost declined to 0.2% in fiscal 2019 from 1.4% a year earlier with most of the demonetisation delinquencies provided for in the earlier fiscals. However, the incremental borrowing cost increased slightly post the liquidity challenges which NBFCs have faced since September 2018. Ability to maintain yields and limit operating cost will be critical for stability in profitability. Ability to restrict both operating and credit costs in the non-gold finance segments, as they grow, will remain a key rating monitorable. * Stable funding profile As on June 30, 2019, around 62% of the consolidated borrowing (including off balance sheet funding through securitisation) was from 41 banks (public and private) and financial institutions, with which the company has established relationships. The funds raised through CP stood at 18% of consolidated borrowing as on June 30, 2019. Investors (particularly mutual funds) chose to be cautious in terms of roll-overs and fresh investments post the sectoral liquidity challenges since September 2018. However, because of its legacy and highly secured asset class, MAFIL was able to roll over existing bank lines/commercial paper and continue to raise fresh funds from diversified sources during this period. The company raised around Rs 2,700 crore through term loans/cash credit/working capital demand loans, Rs 400 crore through public issue of NCDs and Rs 600 crore from commercial paper between September 2018 and July 2019. The standalone cost of borrowing (yearly average) increased to 8.8% during fiscal 2019 from 8.2% in fiscal 2018. The consolidated cost of borrowing (yearly average) increased to 9.5% during fiscal 2019 from 8.8% in fiscal 2018. This is because the incremental cost of borrowings saw a marginal increase on account of the market conditions post September 2018. Weaknesses * High operating cost in the gold and microfinance businesses The nature of the gold loan business results in high operating cost. With a large network of 4,380 branches, the company incurs substantial branch operating cost as proximity to the customer plays a key role in gold loan financing. Additionally, the company incurs high security cost to ensure the safety of the gold ornaments. To reduce cost per branch, the company is taking steps to increase the gold AUM per branch, which has improved consistently over the years. Though still low at Rs 3.8 crore per branch in fiscal 2019, it increased from Rs 3.3 crore in fiscal 2017. The company is also taking steps to shift customers towards online gold loans to reduce the staff cost at branches. The online gold loan proportion increased to 39% of the gold loan AUM in fiscal 2019 from 12% in fiscal 2017. On a standalone basis, the operating cost increased to 7.2% in fiscal 2019 from 6.7% in fiscal 2017. The company has been taking steps to cross-sell other asset segments and use the existing branch network to reduce operating cost. As a result, the consolidated operating cost reduced to 7.0% in fiscal 2019 from 7.8% in fiscal 2017. In the microfinance business, the AUM per branch, though low at Rs 4 crore as on March 31, 2019, has increased from Rs 2.6 crore as on March 31, 2017. The operating cost is expected to benefit from operating leverage as the portfolio scales up. * Geographical concentration in operations and the associated risks Operations have significant regional concentration compared with large asset-financing NBFCs. South India accounted for about 58% of total AUM as on June 30, 2019, though this has reduced from 65% as on March 31, 2017. Moreover, there is susceptibility to regulatory risks related to revenue concentration in a single asset class (gold-loan financing), which accounts for 81% of revenue. Though the company has ventured into the vehicle finance, affordable housing finance, and microfinance segments, these accounted for only 34% of the total portfolio and around 19% of revenue as on June 30, 2019. In view of the large size of the gold loan book (66% of the total portfolio) compared with other segments, and the predominant presence of the gold loan business in South India, revenue is likely to remain concentrated geographically and in terms of asset class over the medium term. * Potential challenges associated with non-gold loan segments The non-gold segments accounted for 34% of the overall portfolio as on June 30, 2019. While the company has managed to grow these businesses and increase the segmental share over the last two years, potential challenges linked to seasoning of the loan book and asset quality remain. The profitability of the microfinance segment was significantly affected by increased credit cost during fiscal 2018 in the aftermath of demonetisation. Also, the housing finance portfolio is not well seasoned. A portion of the vehicle finance portfolio has witnessed full seasoning cycle and has seen some stability. However, given that the vehicle finance segment has entered new asset classes such as two-wheeler finance, asset quality as the portfolio scales up will remain a key monitorable. The collection efficiency in the microfinance and housing finance portfolios corrected in fiscal 2019. Nevertheless, managing the asset quality and credit cost over the long run will be critical. Gold loan companies run the risk of applicability of Kerala Money Lenders Act, 1958, for NBFCs in Kerala. The applicability of the Act is contingent on the decision of the Supreme Court wherein the case lies at present. If applied, lending rates could be impacted, and operating expenditure will increase due to the requirement to register each branch with local authorities in Kerala. As about 7% of the gold loan portfolio and 15% of the company's branches are in Kerala, this remains a key rating monitorable.
Liquidity: Strong Liquidity is strong, reflected in an inherently well-matched ALM profile. MAFIL did not witness any substantial impact on its ability to raise resources during the last twelve months. Disbursements in the third and fourth quarters of fiscal 2019 (that is, during the period when NBFCs faced challenges) were higher than that in the corresponding period of the previous fiscal. The standalone ALM profile is well matched with no negative mismatches across all buckets as on June 30, 2019. CPs were at Rs 3,063 crore (around 23% of standalone borrowings) as on June 30, 2019. The CPs are generally staggered such that not more than Rs 1,500 crore is due for repayment in a particular month. Additionally, about 20% of the portfolio does not get repledged and these collections will also aid liquidity. It has debt repayments of Rs 8,024 crore from August 1, 2019, to January 31, 2020. Against the same, in addition to normal collections, the company has cash and bank balances of Rs 245 crore and unutilized bank lines of Rs 770 crore as on July 31, 2019. In fiscal 2019, the average monthly disbursement was around Rs 7,400 crore and collection was around Rs 6,400 crore. |