Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths
Established market position and improving operating efficiency
The group has an established position in the steel and steel intermediates industry in Eastern India and are improving their presence in other parts through inorganic growth. It has also increased its foothold in export markets, with more than 10% revenue derived from exports in fiscal 2021. Revenue is expected to reach Rs 3,700-4,000 crore (on consolidated basis) in fiscal 2022 from Rs 773 crore in fiscal 2016, at a CAGR of over 35%, backed by enhanced geographic reach and premium brand through acquisition of SPS, and other such acquisitions and through internal capacity additions over the years.
The promoters are associated with the steel industry for over two decades and have forward as well as backward integrated operations. Sales volume should improve to around 10.5 lakh million tonne per annum (MTPA) in fiscal 2022 from 2.96 lakh MTPA in fiscal 2017. Revenue growth will be supported over medium term, by the recent capacity expansion in fiscals 2021 and 2022. Product portfolio is well-diversified, with multiple points of sale across the value chain, including sponge iron, billets, thermo-mechanically treated bars and ferro alloys. The clientele is also fairly diversified with no single customer contributing more than 7% to total revenue.
The group has taken various measures to improve efficiency and reduce cost across entities. Operating margin is expected to improve to over 13.0% in fiscal 2022 from 4.8% in fiscal 2016. The inorganic route of growth has further supported in improving scale and profitability at a fast pace. Further, with capex done in fiscal 2022 under BSIPL, the group has backward integrating into pellet, thereby further boosting the margin. Overall operating profitability is expected at 12-15% over the medium term.
Longstanding experience of promoters
The promoters have extensive experience of over two decades in the business. Under their guidance, the group diversified into various product segments, leading to integrated operations. The promoters have also shown competence in the business by turning around operations of stressed assets. In fiscal 2020, turnaround of operations of SPS, which was making losses until fiscal 2019, is attributed to the promoter’s experience - both in improving efficiency and cost reduction.
Improving, though average, financial risk profile
Debt protection metrics remained moderate, as a result of capex undertaken over the last 3-4 years and acquisition made recently. The group has undertaken capex of more than Rs 1,000 crore in the last 3-4 years, which was funded through a mix of external debt and funds extended by the promoters. Interest coverage and NCATD ratios were 2.50 times and 0.12 time, respectively, in fiscal 2021. Gearing was 1.20 times as on March 31, 2021, while debt/EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation) remained at 4.4 times. With improved profitability in fiscal 2022, cash accrual is expected to increase to more than Rs 300 crore from Rs 184 crore in fiscal 2021. Thus, interest coverage and NCATD ratios are projected at about 3.3 times and 16.0%, respectively, the ratios are expected at around 4.0 times and 20.0% over the medium term. Capex of around Rs 900 crore is to be incurred over fiscals 2022 and 2023, which will be funded through a mix of debt, and cash accrual. Further, the promoters are expected to continue extending timely, need-based funds to support financial flexibility, flexibility.
Weaknesses
Vulnerability to fluctuations in prices of raw material and finished goods
Operating margin is vulnerable to fluctuations in the cost of inputs (iron ore and coal) as well as realisation from finished goods. Prices and supply of the main raw material, iron ore, directly impacts the realisations of finished goods. Any significant change in the demand-and-pricing scenario, resulting in the operating margin moderating below 9% on a sustained basis, will remain a key monitorable.
Exposure to inherent cyclicality in, and competitive & capital-intensive nature of, steel sector
The group's performance remains vulnerable to cyclicality in the steel sector, given the close linkage between the demand for steel products and the domestic and global economy. The end-user segments such as real estate, civil construction and engineering also display cyclicality. While there has been a significant push by the government on steel-intensive sectors such as railways and infrastructure, any sustained downturn in demand will adversely impact performance of steel companies.
The competitive intensity in the Indian steel sector is significant owing to presence of large steel companies such as Tata Steel Ltd, JSW Steel Ltd, Jindal Steel and Power Ltd (‘CRISIL A-/Stable/CRISIL A2+’). Also, steel imports from other countries, mainly China, add to the competition. Additionally, the domestic steel sector is fairly capital intensive. To maintain/improve market share, the industry participants need to routinely carry out the capacity expansion and debottlenecking activities. However, SIPL has just completed a large capacity expansion, hence no sizeable capex is likely over the medium term.
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