Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
* Expectation of continued support from the promoters and the Aditya Birla group companies
Svatantra, as of September 2021, was entirely held by the promoters – members of the Birla family and an investment company of Aditya Birla Group, and the company derives significant funding support from this association. Over the past eight years, the group has infused Rs 252 crore as equity and another Rs. 330 crore as Compulsory Convertible Preference shares (Tier –I Capital) into Svatantra to support its business growth of which, Rs 175 crore has come in fiscal 2021 and Rs 75 crore has come in the first half of fiscal 2022. The group has committed further capital infusion of around Rs. 400 crore through fiscal 2023 and of this, Rs 100 crore is expected to be infused by December 31, 2021. This would support Svatantra’s slated expansion plan over the medium term and maintain capitalization metrics at adequate levels. Promoted by Ms Ananyashree Birla, Svatantra was established with the objective to serve the economically weaker sections and lower income groups in India. Given the promoters’ focus on financial inclusion and Svatantra being the group’s first venture towards accomplishment of this goal, the company will remain strategically important to the promoters. CRISIL believes the promoters will continue to provide timely financial support to Svatantra to meet any incremental capital requirement when needed. Reduction in ownership by the Birla family / group below majority holding, or any change in CRISIL's view on the group or opinion on Svatantra’s strategic importance to the group, will be a rating sensitivity factor.
* Adequate capitalisation and high degree of financial flexibility to raise equity
Svatantra’s capital position is adequate in relation to its scale of operations, largely supported by regular capital infusion by the promoters since inception. So far, the company has cumulatively received Rs 582 crore of capital from the shareholders (Rs 75 crore came in September 2021). These infusions have been made though Svatantra Holdings which is majorly held by investment companies of Aditya Birla group, ultimate beneficiary being Ms Ananyashree Birla. This has enabled a gradual build up in networth to Rs 650 crore (provisional; including compulsorily convertible preference shares) as of September 30, 2021, which is adequate for the scale of operations. Overall and Tier I Capital adequacy ratio as on this date stood at 21.3% and 17.3%, respectively. Further buffer will be added post Rs 350 - 400 crore of capital commitment is fulfilled for fiscal 2022 and 2023. Adjusted gearing (including off book portfolio), having remained below 5 times till fiscal 2018, has remained above 6 times over the last fiscal. However, after the capital infusion in March 2021 and September 2021, adjusted gearing declined marginally to 5.8 times as on September 30, 2021. On a steady state basis, the company intends to operate at a gearing of 5-6 times which will be supported by the cumulative equity infusion of Rs 400 crore planned over the next 12-18 months. The financial flexibility to raise equity will not only aid Svatantra’s business growth and expansion in the medium term, but can also be banked upon for absorbing any unforeseen shocks in asset quality.
* Sound risk management systems and processes bolstered by increasing digitalisation in operations
Given its key focus on digital integration of operations, the company has merged many of its operational processes to its e-platform. The company operates on core banking solutions comprising both an accounting and operational model. Multiple processes within the operational flow, such as identification of area for business, assessment of the area, real time credit bureau score check, real time collection update, generation of credit quality report for the entire portfolio, can be executed online. There are also distinct portals for business (SAATHI) and collections (OMNI) for better functional boundaries. This helps access historical data readily and update the regulator on a frequent basis. At the ground level, there is a dedicated risk team in which one risk officer looks at a maximum of two branches. Bigger branches have a separate risk officer. More so, 100% of the disbursements made by Svatantra are in cashless mode, to facilitate which, the company has tied up with various platforms. The focus, going forward, is to attain 100% cashless collection as well, which will mitigate the risk arising from cash handling and reduce the turnaround time of the entire process.
Having been in operations for almost a decade now, the company has gradually scaled up operations, attaining assets under management (AUM) of Rs 4,309 crore as on November 30, 2021. This growth has been supported by geographical diversification to 19 states (out of these, operations in 3 states have started only in December 2020) through a network of 690 branches, with maximum exposure of 17.8% to a single state and exposure of 67.3% to the top 5 states. Commensurate to robust growth, operational parameters such as increase in average ticket size per borrower and increase in AUM exposure per district/ branch, have changed gradually and are comparable to that of close peers. However, considering the rapid growth in loan portfolio and limited loan cycle vintage, Svatantra’s ability to sustain its asset quality remains a key monitorable.
* Experienced leadership team and board
The company’s board comprises, Ms Ananyashree Birla - founder and promoter of Svatantra, along with promoters of the group - Mr Kumar Mangalam Birla and Ms Neerja Birla. Mr Vineet Chattree from the senior management team of Aditya Birla Group, are also on the board. In terms of leadership team, the company benefits from the extensive experience of its management in fields such as rural banking, operations, risk, and credit.
Weakness:
* Profitability is expected to remain constrained by high operating expense; the ability to curtail additional credit losses in the aftermath of pandemic remains critical
At the time of demonetization, as 74% exposure was in affected regions, Svatantra’s asset quality weakened over fiscal 2018, leading to increased provisioning, and thus, muted profitability for the fiscal. However, with revival in the situation at the ground level and conscious efforts undertaken by the company to restore collection efficiency, asset quality has improved. 30+ and 90+ dpd, which spiked to 21.3% and 13.9%, respectively, in March 2017, declined to 1.0% and 0.9% by the end of March 2020, respectively, which include some demonetization-related over-dues remaining to be written off. Net non-performing assets (Net NPA) as on this date were sub 1%. Overall profitability, with normalised credit cost, improved in fiscal 2019 and 2020 - reflected in a RoMA of 1.7% (IGAAP) and 1.2% (IndAs). However, this was partly constrained by operating expenses remaining moderately high at 6.0% as the company entered its expansion and growth phase. Since 2019, the company has opened over 350 new branches, which has elevated the operating expenses. In the aftermath of covid-19, limited expansion and restricted operational activity led to a correction in operating expenses such that it has remained within 4-6% since then. However, this improvement was offset by heightened credit costs after the pandemic outbreak and lockdown, which has resulted in moderate earnings for the last 2 - 4 quarters. For fiscal 2021, operating expenses reduced to 4.4% from 5.9% for the previous fiscal, whereas credit costs remained elevated at 2.6% and 2.1% for fiscal 2020 and 2021 – largely due to Covid related provisioning. Overall return on managed assets (RoMA) for fiscal 2021 was 0.7% as compared to 1.2% for the previous fiscal. For H1 2022, however, the company reported a profit of Rs 2.93 crore. The decline in profitability was on account of higher credit costs of 3.8% (annualized). Pre-provisioning profit for the half year stood at Rs 87.7 crore. Over the next 2-3 quarters, the company’s overall profitability is expected to remain subdued on account of elevated credit costs and potential interest reversals.
* Limited vintage of loan portfolio
Given 80% of the AUM at the time of demonetization was housed in impacted pockets of Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra, Svatantra’s asset quality weakened over fiscal 2018 leading to increased provisioning requirement, and thus, muted profitability for the fiscal. Svatantra wrote off Rs 19.6 crore over fiscal 2018 and 2019, which is nearly 8.8% of the AUM at the time of demonetization. However, the delinquencies (reflected in 30+ and 90+ dpd) improved considerably to 3.9% and 3.7% as on March 31, 2018, from 23.1% and 13.8%, respectively, a year prior. While portfolio delinquencies restored eventually, the company’s loan portfolio has grown significantly over the past four years, leading to limited vintage in the loan cycle. The loan portfolio has grown at a high three-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 84% which indicates that a majority of the portfolio has limited seasoning. While this growth has been supported by a commensurate expansion in operational base, like addition of over 350 branches and over 150 districts to the company’s network over the two years through September 2021, sustainability of the asset quality at the current level of growth and across newer territories will be a key monitorable.
As on November 30, 2021 – the company reported a GNPA of 4.99% (4.01% excluding off book) whereas 30+ dpd stood at an elevated 8.4% (7.3% excluding off book) on account of a large group of customers making part payments or repaying with a lag. In the near to medium term, the pace and magnitude of recoveries and company’s ability to curtail further slippages will be a key monitorable.
* Inherently modest credit risk profile of the borrowers
A significant portion of the portfolio comprises microfinance loans to clients with below-average credit risk profiles and lack of access to formal credit. Typical borrowers are cattle owners, vegetable vendors, tailors, tea shops, provision stores, small fabrication units etc. The income flow of these households could be volatile and dependent on the local economy. With the slowdown in economic activity since outbreak out of covid-19, there has been pressure on such borrowers’ cash flows at a household level thereby restricting their repayment capability. Even after the lock down is lifted pan India, the revival in collections is expected to be phased and the company’s ability to reinstate repayment discipline among its customers will be a monitorable.
* Potential risk from local socio-political issues in the microfinance sector
The microfinance sector has witnessed two major disruptive events in the past decade. The first was the crisis promulgated by the ordinance passed by the Government of Andhra Pradesh in 2010 and the second was demonetization in 2016. In addition, the sector has faced issues of varying intensity in several geographies. Promulgation of the ordinance on MFIs by the Government of Andhra Pradesh in 2010 demonstrated their vulnerability to regulatory and legislative risks. The ordinance triggered a chain of events that adversely affected the business models of MFIs by impairing their growth, asset quality, profitability, and solvency. Similarly, the sector witnessed high level of delinquencies post-demonetization and the subsequent socio-political events. For Svatantra as well, given its majority portfolio was housed in Maharashtra at that time, the losses were high.
This indicates the fragility of the business model vis-a-vis external risks. As the business involves lending to the poor and downtrodden sections of the society, MFIs will remain exposed to socially sensitive factors, including charging of high interest rates, and consequently, to tighter regulations and legislation.