Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
- Comfortable capitalisation
Overall capital adequacy ratio (CAR, under Basel III) was 14.30% as on September 30, 2022 (16.33% as on March 31, 2022) against 15.19% as on March 31, 2021. Networth increased to Rs 19,256 crore as on March 31, 2022, from Rs 16,502 crore as on March 31, 2021, supported by higher internal accrual and infusion of Rs 916 crore from the World Bank arm, International Finance Corporation, in fiscal 2022. Additionally, the bank raised Rs 700 crore through Tier 2 bond in fiscal 2022. Networth was Rs 20,274 crore as on September 30, 2022.
Networth coverage of net non-performing assets improved to 15 times as on September 30, 2022 (13 times as on March 31, 2022), from 10 times as on March 31, 2021. Capitalisation is expected to remain comfortable for the proposed scale-up in business over the medium term.
- Healthy resource profile with strong brand equity in Kerala
Resource profile is backed by the strong market position of the bank among NRIs, especially in Kerala. Deposits increased 5.5% on-year to Rs 1,81,678 crore as on March 31, 2022, out of which NRIs accounted for 40.0%; deposits were Rs 1,89,111 crore as on September 30, 2022. The bank had a market share of 7% among NRI deposits; and 21.1% in India’s inward remittances in fiscal 2022, up from 18.2% in the previous fiscal. These factors lend stability to resource base and fee income.
Deposit base is granular with retail deposits accounting 92% of total deposits as on September 30, 2022. Furthermore, CASA (current account and savings account) deposits accounted for 36.4% of total deposits (standalone) as on September 30, 2022 (36.9% as on March 31, 2022), up from 33.8% as on March 31, 2021. Cost of deposit improved to 4.3% in fiscal 2022 (4.36% for the three months ended September 30, 2022) from 5.0% in the previous fiscal. While the current deposit rates have inched up in-line with rising interest rate environment, the impact on cost of deposit is expected to be gradual.
Weaknesses:
- Average, albeit improving, profitability
Profit after tax (PAT) improved to Rs 1,970 crore in fiscal 2022 from Rs 1,664 crore previous fiscal due to lower credits cost, which reduced to Rs 1,305 crore from Rs 1,638 crore. In fiscal 2022, bank absorbed upfront cost of pension obligation of Rs 177 crore, and after adjusting for it, PAT was Rs 2,040 crore. Return on assets (RoA) improved to 0.91% in fiscal 2022 from 0.86% in fiscal 2021. Adjusting for the excess pension costs, RoA was 0.99%. The PAT was Rs 1,367 crore and RoA was 1.16% (annualised) for the six months ended September 30, 2022. Credit costs to average total assets declined to 0.61% in fiscal 2022 (0.39% in the six months ended September 30, 2022) from 0.84% in fiscal 2021, in line with steady improvement in asset quality. Gross non-performing assets (GNPAs) improved to 2.78% as on March 31, 2022, from 3.35% as on March 31, 2021, and a further to 2.45% as on September 30, 2022. This was supported by lower slippages and higher recoveries, apart from sale of Rs 275 crore to an asset reconstruction company, which positively impacted GNPAs by 18 basis points. The bank had 1.9% of its loan book as standard restructured book as on September 30, 2022, of which majority was retail and secured. Nevertheless, provision cover for GNPAs was healthy at 67.3% (excluding technical write-offs) as on September 30, 2022.
Going ahead, the bank plans to grow its credit card and personal loan portfolio. Improved mix of loan book should support better net interest margin (NIM). However, ability to sustainably improve NIM and manage credit cost will be closely monitored.
- Scale remains relatively modest with regional concentration
Although advances and deposits increased at a compound annual growth rate of 16.6% and 14.8%, respectively, during fiscals 2016 and 2022, scale remains relatively small. Advances grew 10.7% on-year in fiscal 2022, driven by growth in gold loans[1] (12% of the book), retail loans (33% of the book), and business banking loans (8% of the book), while deposits grew 5.5%. Market share was 1.28% and 1.08% in advances and deposits, respectively, as on September 30, 2022.
While Federal Bank operates across the country, business continues to have sizeable presence in southern India, with Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, and Telangana accounting for 75% of deposits and 59% of advances, respectively, as on March 31, 2022. Its home state, Kerala, alone accounted for 65% and 33% of deposits and advances, respectively. The concentration risk is mitigated by the relatively better economic performance of this region. NRI deposits (majorly part of deposits in Kerala) are diversified by the location of the NRI customers.